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Eredivisie
Referee: Edwin Van de Graaf
Zwolle
S U S U S
2–0
Full-time
Den Haag
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
56%
44%
Points per game
2,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
44%
44%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%
14 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 4
9 Offside 7
12 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 3. · Den Haag 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 9 8 0 1 +21 24
2 Ajax 9 6 1 2 +16 19
3 Zwolle 9 5 3 1 +5 18
4 Vitesse 8 5 2 1 +12 17
5 Feyenoord 10 5 2 3 +7 17
6 AZ Alkmaar 9 5 1 3 +2 16
7 Excelsior 10 4 2 4 -1 14
8 Heerenveen 8 4 2 2 -3 14
9 Den Haag 9 4 1 4 -2 13
10 Heracles 10 3 3 4 -2 12
11 VVV Venlo 10 3 3 4 -4 12
12 Twente 10 3 0 7 -2 9
13 Groningen 9 2 3 4 -3 9
14 Utrecht 7 3 0 4 -7 9
15 Willem II 9 3 0 6 -9 9
16 NAC Breda 9 2 1 6 -8 7
17 Roda 10 2 1 7 -12 7
18 Sparta Rotterdam 9 1 3 5 -10 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle Den Haag
1–0 P. Parzyszek
7′
2–0 Y. Namli
R. Thomas
11′
31′
🟨 Thomas Meissner
T. Ondaan 🔁
↦ Y. Mokhtar
39′
40′
🟨 Donny Gorter
Half-time 2–0
N. Freire 🔁
↦ D. Marcellis
65′
67′
🔁 B. Johnsen
↦ D. Gorter
67′
🔁 E. Hooi
↦ M. Lorenzen
80′
🔁 E. Duplan
↦ A. El Khayati
84′
🟨 Lex Immers
E. Israelsson 🔁
↦ P. Parzyszek
86′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 D. Boer G
2 B. van Polen D
4 D. Marcellis D
13 P. Sandler D
6 M. Saymak M
21 Y. Namli F
19 R. Dekker M
7 Y. Mokhtar F
30 R. Thomas M
9 P. Parzyszek F
20 K. Ehizibue D
Bench (8)
11 T. Ondaan
3 N. Freire
14 E. Israelsson
40 M. Hauptmeijer
8 W. Marinus
16 M. van der Hart
23 E. Bakker
29 S. van Looy

Coach: J. van 't Schip

Den Haag

4-3-3
22 R. Zwinkels G
8 A. Meijers D
3 T. Meißner D
2 T. Ebuehi D
6 D. Gorter M
30 E. Falkenburg F
10 L. Immers M
23 A. El Khayati M
17 D. Bakker M
7 S. Becker F
33 M. Lorenzen F
Bench (11)
9 B. Johnsen
77 E. Hooi
21 E. Duplan
14 D. Ladan
5 W. Kanon
28 M. van Kins
18 T. Coremans
1 I. Groothuizen
26 T. Goppel
15 B. Kuipers
27 T. David

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Edwin Van de Graaf · 50 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.