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La Liga

Referee: Alberto Undiano

Ath Madrid

S S U U S

1–1

Full-time

Villarreal

U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

1,5

2,8

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

0,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,2

This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 56%

56%

Points per game

2,1

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

33%

78%

Both score Ø 33%

44%

22%

Average goals

2,1

2,8

Scored

1,6

1,7

Conceded

0,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

18 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

11 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 20

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 4. · Villarreal 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	8	1	0	+23	25
2	Valencia	10	7	3	0	+16	24
3	Real Madrid	9	6	2	1	+11	20
4	Ath Madrid	9	5	4	0	+9	19
5	Leganes	9	5	2	2	+5	17
6	Villarreal	9	5	1	3	+5	16
7	Betis	9	5	1	3	+2	16
8	Sevilla	9	5	1	3	+1	16
9	Sociedad	9	4	2	3	+2	14
10	Celta	9	3	2	4	+4	11
11	Ath Bilbao	9	3	2	4	+0	11
12	Levante	9	2	5	2	-2	11
13	Espanol	9	2	4	3	-4	10
14	Getafe	9	2	3	4	+1	9
15	Girona	9	2	3	4	-5	9
16	La Coruna	9	2	2	5	-8	8
17	Eibar	9	2	1	6	-17	7
18	Las Palmas	9	2	0	7	-15	6
19	Alaves	10	1	0	9	-12	3
20	Malaga	9	0	1	8	-16	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	5	5	0	0	+17	15
2	Valencia	5	4	1	0	+11	13
3	Betis	5	4	0	1	+5	12
4	Villarreal	4	3	1	0	+9	10
5	Sevilla	4	3	1	0	+6	10
6	Levante	6	2	3	1	+2	9
7	Real Madrid	5	2	2	1	+4	8
8	Leganes	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Espanol	4	2	1	1	+3	7
10	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Ath Bilbao	4	2	1	1	+2	7
12	La Coruna	5	2	0	3	-4	6
13	Sociedad	5	1	2	2	+0	5
14	Celta	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Girona	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Eibar	4	1	1	2	-4	4
17	Getafe	4	1	0	3	+1	3
18	Las Palmas	4	1	0	3	-8	3
19	Malaga	4	0	1	3	-5	1
20	Alaves	5	0	0	5	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Ath Madrid	6	3	3	0	+6	12
3	Valencia	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Barcelona	4	3	1	0	+6	10
5	Leganes	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Sociedad	4	3	0	1	+2	9
7	Celta	4	2	0	2	+5	6
8	Getafe	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	Villarreal	5	2	0	3	-4	6
10	Sevilla	5	2	0	3	-5	6
11	Girona	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Ath Bilbao	5	1	1	3	-2	4
13	Betis	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Alaves	5	1	0	4	-3	3
15	Las Palmas	5	1	0	4	-7	3
16	Espanol	5	0	3	2	-7	3
17	Eibar	5	1	0	4	-13	3
18	La Coruna	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Levante	3	0	2	1	-4	2
20	Malaga	5	0	0	5	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.