← Match Finder
Championship
Referee: England Darren
Nott'm Forest
S T S T T
3–2
Full-time
Bolton
S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Nott'm Forest Bolton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Championship · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 30%
45%
15%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
60%
55%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
3,1
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
8 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nott'm Forest 13. · Bolton 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 20 15 2 3 +24 47
2 Cardiff 20 13 4 3 +16 43
3 Bristol City 21 11 7 3 +12 40
4 Sheffield United 21 12 1 8 +8 37
5 Derby 19 10 4 5 +9 34
6 Aston Villa 18 9 5 4 +10 32
7 Ipswich 20 10 2 8 +5 32
8 Leeds 20 9 3 8 +5 30
9 Preston 20 7 8 5 +2 29
10 Middlesbrough 19 8 4 7 +5 28
11 Brentford 20 6 9 5 +4 27
12 Sheffield Weds 20 6 9 5 +2 27
13 Nott'm Forest 20 9 0 11 -5 27
14 Reading 20 7 5 8 +2 26
15 Fulham 18 6 7 5 +0 25
16 Norwich 20 6 6 8 -8 24
17 Millwall 20 5 7 8 +1 22
18 QPR 20 5 7 8 -7 22
19 Barnsley 20 5 5 10 -7 20
20 Hull 20 4 7 9 -3 19
21 Bolton 20 3 7 10 -18 16
22 Birmingham 20 4 4 12 -19 16
23 Sunderland 20 2 8 10 -12 14
24 Burton Albion 20 3 5 12 -26 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nott'm Forest Bolton
1–0 B. McKay
T. Walker
3′
30′
🟨 Antonee Robinson
Matthew Mills 🟨
32′
45′
W. Buckley 1–1
J. Vela
Half-time 2–1
2–1 J. Worrall
60′
M. Carayol 🔁
↦ B. McKay
63′
A. Bouchalakis 🔁
↦ B. Osborn
63′
70′
🔁 A. Armstrong
↦ W. Buckley
80′
🔁 C. Noone
↦ D. Pratley
B. Brereton 🔁
↦ D. Murphy
82′
87′
🟨 Karl Henry
88′
🔁 A. Wilbraham
↦ M. Little
3–1 B. Brereton
L. Bridcutt
89′
Liam Bridcutt 🟨
90′
92′
J. Worrall 4–1
own goal
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Nott'm Forest

4-2-3-1
43 J. Smith G
4 M. Mancienne D
5 M. Mills D
2 E. Lichaj D
42 J. Worrall D
7 L. Bridcutt M
11 B. Osborn M
20 K. Dowell M
9 D. Murphy F
10 B. McKay M
34 T. Walker F
Bench (7)
18 M. Carayol
31 A. Bouchalakis
17 B. Brereton
14 M. Cash
16 Z. Clough
19 J. Ward
30 S. Henderson

Coach: M. Warburton

Bolton

4-2-3-1
13 B. Alnwick G
2 M. Little D
5 M. Beevers D
32 R. Burke D
15 A. Robinson D
24 K. Henry M
21 D. Pratley M
11 W. Buckley M
10 Sammy Ameobi M
6 J. Vela M
14 G. Madine F
Bench (7)
20 A. Armstrong
12 C. Noone
18 A. Wilbraham
3 A. Taylor
16 J. Cullen
31 D. Wheater
33 M. Howard

Coach: J. Phillips

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

England Darren · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.