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Championship
Referee: Darren Bond
Ipswich
U T U S T
2–2
Full-time
Rotherham
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ipswich Rotherham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,2
3,0
Scored
0,3
0,8
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,3
This season — Championship · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 18%
29%
7%
Points per game
1,2
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
21%
79%
Both score Ø 39%
21%
57%
Average goals
1,6
3,4
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
0,9
2,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

66% Possession 34%
17 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 6
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 5
8 Free kicks against 11
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ipswich 17. · Rotherham 24.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Newcastle 14 10 1 3 +19 31
2 Brighton 14 8 4 2 +9 28
3 Huddersfield 13 9 1 3 +5 28
4 Norwich 14 8 3 3 +7 27
5 Bristol City 14 7 2 5 +6 23
6 Birmingham 14 6 5 3 +3 23
7 Brentford 15 6 4 5 +7 22
8 Reading 14 6 4 4 -3 22
9 Sheffield Weds 13 6 3 4 +0 21
10 Preston 14 6 2 6 +1 20
11 Leeds 14 6 2 6 -1 20
12 Barnsley 14 6 1 7 +3 19
13 QPR 15 5 4 6 -5 19
14 Fulham 14 4 6 4 -2 18
15 Burton Albion 14 4 5 5 +0 17
16 Aston Villa 14 3 8 3 +0 17
17 Ipswich 14 4 5 5 -2 17
18 Wolves 14 4 4 6 -1 16
19 Nott'm Forest 14 4 3 7 -3 15
20 Cardiff 14 4 3 7 -9 15
21 Derby 14 3 5 6 -4 14
22 Blackburn 14 3 3 8 -8 12
23 Wigan 14 2 5 7 -3 11
24 Rotherham 14 1 3 10 -19 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ipswich Rotherham
1–0 F. Sears
T. Lawrence
3′
7′
D. Ward 1–1
R. Wood
35′
🔁 D. Ball
↦ G. Halford
Half-time 1–2
48′
D. Ward 1–2
W. Vaulks
L. Best 🔁
↦ G. Ward
66′
J. Williams 🔁
↦ T. Bishop
66′
80′
🔁 P. Odemwingie
↦ J. Taylor
L. Varney 🔁
↦ M. Kenlock
83′
2–2 D. McGoldrick
95′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Ipswich

4-2-3-1
33 B. Bialkowski G
6 C. Berra D
15 A. Webster D
4 L. Chambers D
30 M. Kenlock M
8 C. Skuse M
27 T. Lawrence M
18 G. Ward M
7 T. Bishop M
10 D. McGoldrick F
20 F. Sears F
Bench (7)
9 L. Best
21 J. Williams
12 L. Varney
1 D. Gerken
17 K. Bru
28 C. Grant
29 J. Emmanuel

Coach: M. McCarthy

Rotherham

4-4-2
1 L. Camp G
15 G. Halford M
6 R. Wood D
3 J. Mattock D
17 D. Fisher D
18 D. Fry D
11 J. Taylor M
22 J. Newell M
4 W. Vaulks M
20 D. Blackstock F
9 D. Ward F
Bench (7)
14 D. Ball
13 P. Odemwingie
2 S. Kelly
7 A. Forde
10 J. Forster-Caskey
12 L. Price
37 I. Brown

Coach: K. Jackett

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Darren Bond · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.