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Bundesliga
Referee: Guido Winkmann
Augsburg
T T S T U
1–0
Full-time
Darmstadt
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Darmstadt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,3
This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%
19 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Augsburg 13. · Darmstadt 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 4 4 0 0 +13 12
2 Dortmund 5 4 0 1 +12 12
3 FC Koln 4 3 1 0 +7 10
4 Ein Frankfurt 4 3 0 1 +3 9
5 Hertha 4 3 0 1 +2 9
6 RB Leipzig 4 2 2 0 +5 8
7 Mainz 4 2 1 1 +2 7
8 M'gladbach 4 2 1 1 +2 7
9 Freiburg 5 2 0 3 -3 6
10 Wolfsburg 4 1 2 1 -2 5
11 Hoffenheim 4 0 4 0 +0 4
12 Leverkusen 4 1 1 2 +0 4
13 Augsburg 4 1 1 2 -3 4
14 Darmstadt 4 1 1 2 -7 4
15 FC Ingolstadt 04 4 0 1 3 -6 1
16 Hamburg 4 0 1 3 -7 1
17 Schalke 04 4 0 0 4 -7 0
18 Werder Bremen 4 0 0 4 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg Darmstadt
31′
🟨 Peter Niemeyer
J. Schmid 🔁
↦ R. Bobadilla
35′
Dong-Won Ji 🟨
37′
41′
🟨 Leon Guwara
45′
🟨 Leon Guwara
45′
🟥 Leon Guwara
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 S. Sirigu
↦ R. Bezjak
46′
🔁 F. Holland
↦ L. Kleinheisler
1–0 A. Finnbogason
Ja-Cheol Koo
47′
Paul Verhaegh 🟨
86′
86′
🔁 Ä. Ben-Hatira
↦ P. Niemeyer
Halil Altıntop 🔁
↦ J. Schmid
88′
C. Janker 🔁
↦ D. Baier
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Augsburg

4-2-3-1
35 M. Hitz G
2 P. Verhaegh D
36 M. Hinteregger D
3 K. Stafylidis D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
10 D. Baier M
20 G. Kačar M
19 Ja-Cheol Koo M
25 R. Bobadilla F
27 A. Finnbogason F
22 Dong-Won Ji M
Bench (7)
11 J. Schmid
7 Halil Altıntop
16 C. Janker
1 A. Luthe
8 M. Feulner
14 J. Morávek
31 P. Max

Coach: D. Schuster

Darmstadt

4-2-3-1
31 M. Esser G
3 A. Milosevic D
21 I. Höhn D
2 L. Guwara D
18 P. Niemeyer D
20 M. Heller M
23 F. Jungwirth D
8 J. Gondorf M
30 L. Kleinheisler M
14 R. Bezjak F
16 A. Colak F
Bench (7)
17 S. Sirigu
32 F. Holland
28 Ä. Ben-Hatira
1 Daniel Heuer
6 M. Vrančić
7 A. Fedetskiy
22 D. Oliynyk

Coach: N. Meier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Guido Winkmann · 50 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.