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Bundesliga

Referee: Deniz Aytekin

Leverkusen

U S T U S

2–3

Full-time

M'gladbach

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen M'gladbach

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 33%

41%

24%

Points per game

1,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

71%

47%

Both score Ø 62%

76%

47%

Average goals

3,0

2,4

Scored

1,5

0,9

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

59% Possession 41%

12 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 8

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leverkusen 8. · M'gladbach 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	18	14	3	1	+31	45
2	RB Leipzig	18	13	3	2	+20	42
3	Ein Frankfurt	18	9	5	4	+8	32
4	Hoffenheim	18	7	10	1	+12	31
5	Dortmund	17	8	6	3	+17	30
6	Hertha	17	9	3	5	+6	30
7	FC Koln	18	7	8	3	+11	29
8	Leverkusen	17	7	3	7	+1	24
9	Freiburg	17	7	2	8	-7	23
10	Schalke 04	18	6	3	9	+1	21
11	Mainz	17	6	3	8	-4	21
12	Augsburg	18	5	6	7	-5	21
13	Wolfsburg	18	5	4	9	-9	19
14	M'gladbach	17	4	5	8	-10	17
15	Werder Bremen	18	4	4	10	-16	16
16	FC Ingolstadt 04	18	4	3	11	-12	15
17	Hamburg	18	3	4	11	-20	13
18	Darmstadt	18	2	3	13	-24	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	9	8	1	0	+13	25
2	Bayern Munich	9	7	2	0	+22	23
3	Hertha	8	7	0	1	+11	21
4	Dortmund	8	5	3	0	+13	18
5	Ein Frankfurt	8	5	3	0	+7	18
6	Hoffenheim	9	4	5	0	+7	17
7	FC Koln	8	4	4	0	+9	16
8	Schalke 04	10	5	1	4	+6	16
9	M'gladbach	9	4	3	2	+5	15
10	Freiburg	8	5	0	3	-1	15
11	Mainz	8	4	2	2	+4	14
12	Leverkusen	9	4	2	3	+2	14
13	Werder Bremen	10	3	1	6	-4	10
14	Augsburg	9	2	3	4	-6	9
15	Darmstadt	10	2	3	5	-8	9
16	FC Ingolstadt 04	9	2	2	5	-5	8
17	Wolfsburg	10	2	2	6	-7	8
18	Hamburg	8	2	2	4	-9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	9	7	1	1	+9	22
2	RB Leipzig	9	5	2	2	+7	17
3	Hoffenheim	9	3	5	1	+5	14
4	Ein Frankfurt	10	4	2	4	+1	14
5	FC Koln	10	3	4	3	+2	13
6	Dortmund	9	3	3	3	+4	12
7	Augsburg	9	3	3	3	+1	12
8	Wolfsburg	8	3	2	3	-2	11
9	Leverkusen	8	3	1	4	-1	10
10	Hertha	9	2	3	4	-5	9
11	Freiburg	9	2	2	5	-6	8
12	FC Ingolstadt 04	9	2	1	6	-7	7
13	Mainz	9	2	1	6	-8	7
14	Werder Bremen	8	1	3	4	-12	6
15	Schalke 04	8	1	2	5	-5	5
16	Hamburg	10	1	2	7	-11	5
17	M'gladbach	8	0	2	6	-15	2
18	Darmstadt	8	0	0	8	-16	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.