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Championship
Referee: Simon Hooper
Norwich
T U S T S
2–0
Full-time
Birmingham
T U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Birmingham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
This season — Championship · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 39%
44%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
74%
52%
Both score Ø 61%
63%
59%
Average goals
3,1
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

42% Possession 58%
16 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Norwich 8. · Birmingham 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brighton 27 18 6 3 +25 60
2 Newcastle 27 19 1 7 +33 58
3 Leeds 28 16 3 9 +12 51
4 Huddersfield 25 15 4 6 +5 49
5 Reading 25 14 4 7 +7 46
6 Derby 27 12 7 8 +6 43
7 Barnsley 27 12 5 10 +5 41
8 Norwich 27 12 4 11 +5 40
9 Preston 27 11 7 9 +3 40
10 Sheffield Weds 25 11 6 8 +2 39
11 Fulham 25 9 10 6 +8 37
12 Birmingham 27 9 10 8 -5 37
13 Aston Villa 27 8 12 7 +1 36
14 Ipswich 27 9 7 11 -5 34
15 Brentford 27 9 6 12 -1 33
16 Cardiff 27 9 6 12 -10 33
17 QPR 27 9 6 12 -11 33
18 Wolves 27 8 8 11 -3 32
19 Nott'm Forest 28 8 6 14 -9 30
20 Bristol City 27 8 3 16 -4 27
21 Wigan 27 6 7 14 -8 25
22 Burton Albion 27 6 7 14 -11 25
23 Blackburn 27 6 7 14 -12 25
24 Rotherham 27 4 4 19 -33 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Aug -16 Birmingham – Norwich 3–0

Match report

Norwich Birmingham
1–0 C. Jerome
15′
Jonathan Howson 🟨
26′
2–0 T. Klose
R. Brady
43′
Half-time 2–0
Josh Murphy 🔁
↦ Jacob Murphy
62′
63′
🟨 Jonathan Grounds
65′
🔁 D. Cotterill
↦ R. Tesche
B. Godfrey 🔁
↦ A. Tettey
81′
87′
🟨 Ryan Shotton
K. Lafferty 🔁
↦ W. Hoolahan
88′
88′
🔁 M. Kieftenbeld
↦ D. Davis
88′
🔁 J. Cogley
↦ Nsue
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Norwich

4-2-3-1
1 J. Ruddy
5 R. Martin D
15 T. Klose D
25 Ivo Pinto D
27 A. Tettey M
14 W. Hoolahan M
8 J. Howson M
12 R. Brady M
22 Jacob Murphy M
7 S. Naismith M
10 C. Jerome F
Bench (7)
31 Josh Murphy
35 B. Godfrey
19 K. Lafferty
2 S. Whittaker
6 S. Bassong
24 R. Bennett
33 M. McGovern

Coach: A. Neil

Birmingham

4-3-3
29 T. Kuszczak G
3 J. Grounds D
5 R. Shotton D
28 M. Morrison D
12 C. Gardner M
7 R. Tesche M
2 Nsue D
26 D. Davis M
21 K. Frei M
14 Che Adams F
15 L. Jutkiewicz F
Bench (7)
11 D. Cotterill
6 M. Kieftenbeld
25 J. Cogley
33 C. Keita
1 A. Legzdins
4 P. Robinson
8 S. Gleeson

Coach: G. Zola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Simon Hooper · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.