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Bundesliga

Referee: Markus Schmidt

FC Ingolstadt 04

T S S T T

3–1

Full-time

Hamburg

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Ingolstadt 04 Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 18%

18%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

41%

53%

Both score Ø 47%

53%

41%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,6

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

45% Possession 55%

15 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

1 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 18

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match FC Ingolstadt 04 17. · Hamburg 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	17	13	3	1	+30	42
2	RB Leipzig	17	12	3	2	+19	39
3	Ein Frankfurt	18	9	5	4	+8	32
4	Hoffenheim	17	7	10	0	+13	31
5	Dortmund	17	8	6	3	+17	30
6	Hertha	17	9	3	5	+6	30
7	FC Koln	17	6	8	3	+6	26
8	Leverkusen	17	7	3	7	+1	24
9	Freiburg	17	7	2	8	-7	23
10	Schalke 04	18	6	3	9	+1	21
11	Mainz	17	6	3	8	-4	21
12	Wolfsburg	17	5	4	8	-8	19
13	Augsburg	17	4	6	7	-6	18
14	M'gladbach	17	4	5	8	-10	17
15	Werder Bremen	17	4	4	9	-15	16
16	Hamburg	17	3	4	10	-18	13
17	FC Ingolstadt 04	17	3	3	11	-14	12
18	Darmstadt	17	2	3	12	-19	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	9	7	2	0	+22	23
2	RB Leipzig	8	7	1	0	+12	22
3	Hertha	8	7	0	1	+11	21
4	Dortmund	8	5	3	0	+13	18
5	Ein Frankfurt	8	5	3	0	+7	18
6	Hoffenheim	9	4	5	0	+7	17
7	FC Koln	8	4	4	0	+9	16
8	Schalke 04	10	5	1	4	+6	16
9	M'gladbach	9	4	3	2	+5	15
10	Freiburg	8	5	0	3	-1	15
11	Mainz	8	4	2	2	+4	14
12	Leverkusen	9	4	2	3	+2	14
13	Werder Bremen	9	3	1	5	-3	10
14	Darmstadt	9	2	3	4	-3	9
15	Augsburg	9	2	3	4	-6	9
16	Wolfsburg	9	2	2	5	-6	8
17	Hamburg	8	2	2	4	-9	8
18	FC Ingolstadt 04	8	1	2	5	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	6	1	1	+8	19
2	RB Leipzig	9	5	2	2	+7	17
3	Hoffenheim	8	3	5	0	+6	14
4	Ein Frankfurt	10	4	2	4	+1	14
5	Dortmund	9	3	3	3	+4	12
6	Wolfsburg	8	3	2	3	-2	11
7	Leverkusen	8	3	1	4	-1	10
8	FC Koln	9	2	4	3	-3	10
9	Augsburg	8	2	3	3	+0	9
10	Hertha	9	2	3	4	-5	9
11	Freiburg	9	2	2	5	-6	8
12	FC Ingolstadt 04	9	2	1	6	-7	7
13	Mainz	9	2	1	6	-8	7
14	Werder Bremen	8	1	3	4	-12	6
15	Schalke 04	8	1	2	5	-5	5
16	Hamburg	9	1	2	6	-9	5
17	M'gladbach	8	0	2	6	-15	2
18	Darmstadt	8	0	0	8	-16	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.