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Bundesliga

Referee: Bastian Dankert

Augsburg

U U T T S

1–3

Full-time

Mainz

U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Mainz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,5

5,5

Scored

1,0

2,5

Conceded

1,5

3,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%

12 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 7

4 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Augsburg 11. · Mainz 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	RB Leipzig	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	FC Koln	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Dortmund	3	2	0	1	+6	6
5	Hertha	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	M'gladbach	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Ein Frankfurt	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Wolfsburg	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Hoffenheim	3	0	3	0	+0	3
10	Leverkusen	3	1	0	2	+0	3
11	Augsburg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Freiburg	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Darmstadt	3	1	0	2	-7	3
14	Mainz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	FC Ingolstadt 04	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Hamburg	3	0	1	2	-6	1
17	Schalke 04	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Werder Bremen	3	0	0	3	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	FC Koln	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	M'gladbach	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Ein Frankfurt	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Hoffenheim	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Mainz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Wolfsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Hamburg	2	0	1	1	-4	1
15	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	FC Ingolstadt 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	2	1	1	0	+4	4
2	Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Hoffenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	FC Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	FC Ingolstadt 04	2	0	1	1	-2	1
9	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Dortmund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Leverkusen	2	0	0	2	-2	0
14	M'gladbach	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Hamburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Freiburg	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Darmstadt	2	0	0	2	-8	0
18	Werder Bremen	2	0	0	2	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.