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Ligue 1

Referee: Nicolas Rainville

Bastia

T T U T U

0–0

Full-time

St Etienne

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia St Etienne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

2,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 28%

19%

37%

Points per game

0,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

44%

33%

Both score Ø 49%

56%

41%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

1,4

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%

5 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 5

8 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Bastia 19. · St Etienne 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	27	19	5	3	+53	62
2	Paris SG	28	19	5	4	+37	62
3	Nice	27	17	8	2	+23	59
4	Lyon	27	15	2	10	+23	47
5	Bordeaux	28	11	10	7	+2	43
6	St Etienne	27	10	9	8	+9	39
7	Marseille	27	11	6	10	+0	39
8	Rennes	27	9	9	9	-5	36
9	Toulouse	27	9	8	10	+3	35
10	Guingamp	27	9	7	11	-4	34
11	Nantes	27	9	7	11	-13	34
12	Angers	27	9	6	12	-8	33
13	Montpellier	27	8	8	11	-6	32
14	Caen	27	9	4	14	-16	31
15	Metz	26	8	6	12	-25	30
16	Lille	27	8	5	14	-9	29
17	Nancy	28	7	7	14	-17	28
18	Dijon	27	6	9	12	-7	27
19	Bastia	27	5	9	13	-14	24
20	Lorient	27	6	4	17	-26	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	14	11	3	0	+20	36
2	Monaco	13	11	1	1	+36	34
3	Paris SG	14	9	5	0	+23	32
4	Lyon	14	10	0	4	+19	30
5	Marseille	14	9	3	2	+11	30
6	Rennes	14	8	4	2	+9	28
7	St Etienne	14	7	5	2	+11	26
8	Toulouse	13	8	1	4	+11	25
9	Montpellier	13	7	4	2	+11	25
10	Guingamp	13	7	3	3	+5	24
11	Angers	14	6	5	3	+5	23
12	Bordeaux	15	6	5	4	-1	23
13	Caen	13	7	2	4	-3	23
14	Dijon	13	5	5	3	+6	20
15	Metz	12	5	4	3	-5	19
16	Nantes	14	5	3	6	-9	18
17	Bastia	14	3	8	3	+1	17
18	Nancy	13	5	2	6	-2	17
19	Lille	14	5	2	7	-3	17
20	Lorient	13	5	2	6	-5	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	10	0	4	+14	30
2	Monaco	14	8	4	2	+17	28
3	Nice	13	6	5	2	+3	23
4	Bordeaux	13	5	5	3	+3	20
5	Lyon	13	5	2	6	+4	17
6	Nantes	13	4	4	5	-4	16
7	St Etienne	13	3	4	6	-2	13
8	Lille	13	3	3	7	-6	12
9	Nancy	15	2	5	8	-15	11
10	Metz	14	3	2	9	-20	11
11	Toulouse	14	1	7	6	-8	10
12	Guingamp	14	2	4	8	-9	10
13	Angers	13	3	1	9	-13	10
14	Marseille	13	2	3	8	-11	9
15	Caen	14	2	2	10	-13	8
16	Rennes	13	1	5	7	-14	8
17	Dijon	14	1	4	9	-13	7
18	Bastia	13	2	1	10	-15	7
19	Montpellier	14	1	4	9	-17	7
20	Lorient	14	1	2	11	-21	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.