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Eredivisie
Referee: Allard Lindhout
Zwolle
T S S T U
3–1
Full-time
Vitesse
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 34%
25%
42%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
63%
50%
Both score Ø 61%
54%
67%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

41% Possession 59%
18 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 13. · Vitesse 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 24 20 3 1 +48 63
2 Ajax 24 18 4 2 +36 58
3 PSV Eindhoven 25 16 7 2 +31 55
4 Twente 25 10 8 7 +3 38
5 Heerenveen 23 10 6 7 +14 36
6 Vitesse 24 10 6 8 +6 36
7 Utrecht 21 10 6 5 +6 36
8 AZ Alkmaar 22 8 10 4 +7 34
9 Willem II 25 7 8 10 -7 29
10 Heracles 24 7 7 10 -6 28
11 Nijmegen 24 6 7 11 -17 25
12 Groningen 23 5 9 9 -4 24
13 Zwolle 24 6 6 12 -22 24
14 Sparta Rotterdam 24 5 7 12 -11 22
15 Go Ahead Eagles 25 5 5 15 -18 20
16 Roda 25 3 11 11 -21 20
17 Excelsior 24 4 7 13 -21 19
18 Den Haag 24 5 3 16 -24 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle Vitesse
1–0 M. Saymak
B. van Polen
10′
2–0 N. Brock-Madsen
P. Sandler
18′
Half-time 2–1
48′
R. van Wolfswinkel 2–1
54′
🟨 Matthew Miazga
3–1 D. Holla
55′
69′
🔁 M. Ali
↦ L. Baker
69′
🔁 Zhang Yuning
↦ N. Foor
B. Schenkeveld 🔁
↦ P. Sandler
70′
Y. Mokhtar 🔁
↦ K. Ehizibue
77′
79′
🔁 M. van Bergen
↦ R. van Wolfswinkel
S. Nijland 🔁
↦ M. Saymak
81′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-2-3-1
1 M. van der Hart G
2 B. van Polen D
21 D. Warmerdam D
13 P. Sandler D
23 D. Holla M
15 O. Bouy D
6 M. Saymak M
44 N. Brock-Madsen F
30 R. Thomas M
11 Q. Menig M
20 K. Ehizibue D
Bench (10)
22 B. Schenkeveld
7 Y. Mokhtar
10 S. Nijland
40 M. Hauptmeijer
5 C. Verdonk
9 A. Achahbar
35 H. Ongenda
17 J. Kvída
16 K. Begois
3 T. van de Pavert

Coach: R. Jans

Vitesse

4-3-3
23 M. Tørnes G
37 G. Kashia D
5 K. Leerdam D
19 M. Miazga D
17 K. Diks D
25 N. Foor M
10 A. Tighadouini F
34 L. Baker M
18 M. Nakamba M
13 R. van Wolfswinkel F
7 M. Rashica F
Bench (9)
8 M. Ali
9 Zhang Yuning
16 M. van Bergen
28 A. Büttner
6 A. Kruiswijk
40 W. Dronkers
11 Nathan
24 J. Houwen
30 A. Koryan

Coach: H. Fraser

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Allard Lindhout · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.