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Bundesliga
Referee: Gunter Perl
M'gladbach
S S T T U
1–0
Full-time
Hertha
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 41%
35%
46%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
50%
46%
Both score Ø 46%
46%
46%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
22 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match M'gladbach 11. · Hertha 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 27 20 5 2 +53 65
2 RB Leipzig 26 16 4 6 +19 52
3 Hoffenheim 27 13 12 2 +24 51
4 Dortmund 27 14 8 5 +30 50
5 FC Koln 27 10 10 7 +8 40
6 Hertha 26 12 4 10 +2 40
7 Ein Frankfurt 27 10 7 10 -2 37
8 Werder Bremen 27 10 5 12 -4 35
9 Freiburg 26 10 5 11 -13 35
10 Schalke 04 27 9 7 11 +2 34
11 M'gladbach 26 9 6 11 -4 33
12 Leverkusen 26 9 5 12 -3 32
13 Wolfsburg 26 8 6 12 -11 30
14 Hamburg 27 8 6 13 -24 30
15 Mainz 26 8 5 13 -9 29
16 Augsburg 26 7 8 11 -16 29
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 26 6 4 16 -18 22
18 Darmstadt 26 4 3 19 -34 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

M'gladbach Hertha
1–0 L. Bénes
L. Stindl
16′
Half-time 1–0
66′
🔁 S. Allagui
↦ G. Haraguchi
68′
🟨 Jordan Torunarigha
I. Traoré 🔁
↦ P. Herrmann
76′
81′
🔁 J. Kade
↦ S. Kalou
A. Hahn 🔁
↦ L. Bénes
85′
Thorgan Hazard 🟨
89′
N. Schulz 🔁
↦ T. Hazard
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

M'gladbach

4-4-2
1 Y. Sommer G
17 O. Wendt D
4 J. Vestergaard D
3 A. Christensen D
30 N. Elvedi D
7 P. Herrmann M
23 J. Hofmann M
8 M. Dahoud M
22 L. Bénes M
13 L. Stindl F
10 T. Hazard M
Bench (7)
16 I. Traoré
28 A. Hahn
14 N. Schulz
25 T. Kolodziejczak
9 J. Drmic
27 J. Korb
21 T. Sippel

Coach: D. Hecking

Hertha

4-2-3-1
22 R. Jarstein G
15 S. Langkamp D
2 P. Pekarík D
5 N. Stark D
40 J. Torunarigha D
3 P. Skjelbred M
14 V. Stocker M
7 A. Esswein M
24 G. Haraguchi M
6 V. Darida M
8 S. Kalou M
Bench (7)
11 S. Allagui
36 J. Kade
37 M. Mlynikowski
20 Allan
31 F. Kohls
32 P. Dardai
1 T. Kraft

Coach: P. Dárdai

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Gunter Perl · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.