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Bundesliga
Referee: Guido Winkmann
Wolfsburg
T U S S U
0–1
Full-time
Freiburg
T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Freiburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 35%
31%
38%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
50%
73%
Both score Ø 60%
46%
73%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
17 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
4 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 13. · Freiburg 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 27 20 5 2 +53 65
2 RB Leipzig 26 16 4 6 +19 52
3 Hoffenheim 27 13 12 2 +24 51
4 Dortmund 27 14 8 5 +30 50
5 FC Koln 27 10 10 7 +8 40
6 Hertha 26 12 4 10 +2 40
7 Ein Frankfurt 27 10 7 10 -2 37
8 Werder Bremen 27 10 5 12 -4 35
9 Freiburg 26 10 5 11 -13 35
10 Schalke 04 27 9 7 11 +2 34
11 M'gladbach 26 9 6 11 -4 33
12 Leverkusen 26 9 5 12 -3 32
13 Wolfsburg 26 8 6 12 -11 30
14 Hamburg 27 8 6 13 -24 30
15 Mainz 26 8 5 13 -9 29
16 Augsburg 26 7 8 11 -16 29
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 26 6 4 16 -18 22
18 Darmstadt 26 4 3 19 -34 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Nov -16 Freiburg – Wolfsburg 0–3

Match report

Wolfsburg Freiburg
Half-time 0–0
D. Didavi 🔁
↦ J. Błaszczykowski
67′
69′
🔁 N. Petersen
↦ K. Guédé
72′
🟨 Florian Niederlechner
78′
F. Niederlechner 0–1
N. Petersen
Borja Mayoral 🔁
↦ Vieirinha
84′
84′
🔁 O. Bulut
↦ J. Haberer
91′
🔁 G. Niedermeier
↦ F. Niederlechner
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-1-4-1
28 K. Casteels G
15 C. Träsch M
2 P. Wollscheid D
31 R. Knoche D
21 J. Horn D
14 J. Błaszczykowski M
8 Vieirinha M
23 J. Guilavogui M
27 M. Arnold M
6 R. Bazoer M
33 M. Gómez F
Bench (7)
11 D. Didavi
17 Borja Mayoral
10 Y. Mallı
13 Y. Gerhardt
20 M. Grün
24 S. Jung
30 P. Seguin

Coach: A. Jonker

Freiburg

4-4-2
1 A. Schwolow G
2 A. Ignjovski M
17 L. Kübler D
20 M. Kempf D
4 C. Söyüncü D
23 J. Schuster D
8 M. Frantz M
19 J. Haberer M
32 V. Grifo M
31 K. Guédé F
7 F. Niederlechner F
Bench (7)
18 N. Petersen
11 O. Bulut
24 G. Niedermeier
3 Torrejón
6 A. Abrashi
21 P. Klandt
30 C. Günter

Coach: C. Streich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Guido Winkmann · 50 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.