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Eredivisie

Referee: Paulus van Boekel

Groningen

U T U T U

2–0

Full-time

Nijmegen

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,0

This season — Eredivisie · 26/28 matches

Win Ø 22%

19%

25%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

46%

50%

Both score Ø 54%

62%

46%

Average goals

2,8

2,6

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%

17 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 6

1 Offside 5

13 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Groningen 14. · Nijmegen 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	28	22	3	3	+50	69
2	Ajax	28	20	6	2	+40	66
3	PSV Eindhoven	28	19	7	2	+36	64
4	Utrecht	26	13	7	6	+12	46
5	Vitesse	29	13	6	10	+10	45
6	Twente	28	11	8	9	+2	41
7	Heerenveen	27	11	6	10	+10	39
8	AZ Alkmaar	25	9	11	5	+8	38
9	Heracles	29	9	7	13	-7	34
10	Willem II	28	8	9	11	-7	33
11	Zwolle	28	8	7	13	-20	31
12	Sparta Rotterdam	29	7	7	15	-18	28
13	Nijmegen	28	7	7	14	-20	28
14	Groningen	26	5	11	10	-6	26
15	Excelsior	29	5	10	14	-20	25
16	Den Haag	28	7	4	17	-24	25
17	Go Ahead Eagles	28	6	5	17	-21	23
18	Roda	28	4	11	13	-25	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	14	12	2	0	+33	38
2	Ajax	14	11	2	1	+25	35
3	PSV Eindhoven	14	10	3	1	+17	33
4	Heerenveen	14	7	4	3	+11	25
5	Heracles	15	7	3	5	+8	24
6	Twente	14	7	3	4	+5	24
7	Vitesse	14	7	2	5	+7	23
8	Utrecht	12	6	3	3	+6	21
9	AZ Alkmaar	13	4	7	2	+6	19
10	Sparta Rotterdam	14	5	4	5	+1	19
11	Nijmegen	14	5	4	5	-1	19
12	Excelsior	15	4	5	6	-2	17
13	Den Haag	14	5	2	7	-3	17
14	Willem II	14	4	5	5	-4	17
15	Zwolle	14	4	4	6	-9	16
16	Roda	14	3	5	6	-5	14
17	Groningen	13	2	7	4	-7	13
18	Go Ahead Eagles	14	4	1	9	-9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	14	9	4	1	+19	31
2	Feyenoord	14	10	1	3	+17	31
3	Ajax	14	9	4	1	+15	31
4	Utrecht	14	7	4	3	+6	25
5	Vitesse	15	6	4	5	+3	22
6	AZ Alkmaar	12	5	4	3	+2	19
7	Twente	14	4	5	5	-3	17
8	Willem II	14	4	4	6	-3	16
9	Zwolle	14	4	3	7	-11	15
10	Heerenveen	13	4	2	7	-1	14
11	Groningen	13	3	4	6	+1	13
12	Go Ahead Eagles	14	2	4	8	-12	10
13	Heracles	14	2	4	8	-15	10
14	Sparta Rotterdam	15	2	3	10	-19	9
15	Nijmegen	14	2	3	9	-19	9
16	Roda	14	1	6	7	-20	9
17	Excelsior	14	1	5	8	-18	8
18	Den Haag	14	2	2	10	-21	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.