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Eredivisie
Referee: Siemen Mulder
Willem II
S T S U T
1–2
Full-time
Den Haag
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 27%
29%
25%
Points per game
1,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
32%
54%
Both score Ø 47%
43%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,6
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

55% Possession 45%
21 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 5
4 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Willem II 10. · Den Haag 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 28 22 3 3 +50 69
2 Ajax 28 20 6 2 +40 66
3 PSV Eindhoven 28 19 7 2 +36 64
4 Utrecht 26 13 7 6 +12 46
5 Vitesse 29 13 6 10 +10 45
6 Twente 28 11 8 9 +2 41
7 Heerenveen 27 11 6 10 +10 39
8 AZ Alkmaar 25 9 11 5 +8 38
9 Heracles 29 9 7 13 -7 34
10 Willem II 28 8 9 11 -7 33
11 Zwolle 28 8 7 13 -20 31
12 Groningen 27 6 11 10 -4 29
13 Sparta Rotterdam 29 7 7 15 -18 28
14 Nijmegen 29 7 7 15 -22 28
15 Excelsior 29 5 10 14 -20 25
16 Den Haag 28 7 4 17 -24 25
17 Go Ahead Eagles 28 6 5 17 -21 23
18 Roda 28 4 11 13 -25 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Willem II Den Haag
21′
A. El Khayati 0–1
E. Duplan
1–1 O. Oularé
25′
K. Tshimanga 🔁
↦ G. Joppen
29′
42′
M. Havenaar 1–2
E. Duplan
Half-time 1–2
Thom Haye 🟨
59′
Fran Sol 🔁
↦ O. Oularé
67′
E. Lieftink 🔁
↦ K. Tshimanga
74′
74′
🔁 R. Wolters
↦ E. Duplan
80′
🔁 G. Fernandez
↦ M. Havenaar
87′
🔁 T. Beugelsdijk
↦ A. El Khayati
90′
🟨 Sheraldo Becker
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Willem II

4-2-3-1
1 K. Lamprou G
4 J. Peters D
24 G. Joppen D
29 D. Lachman D
46 P. van Anholt D
10 E. Falkenburg F
6 F. Ojo M
20 A. Kali M
8 T. Haye M
14 J. Croux F
58 O. Oularé F
Bench (11)
26 K. Tshimanga
9 Fran Sol
25 E. Lieftink
7 J. Schuurman
15 D. Wuytens
16 V. Sakor
17 B. van den Boomen
23 N. Bertrams
28 Asumah
30 A. Calcan
31 M. Branderhorst

Coach: E. van de Looi

Den Haag

4-3-3
22 R. Zwinkels G
8 A. Meijers D
2 D. Malone M
3 T. Meißner D
5 W. Kanon D
28 T. Ebuehi D
17 D. Bakker M
9 M. Havenaar F
21 E. Duplan F
23 A. El Khayati M
77 S. Becker F
Bench (12)
11 R. Wolters
19 G. Fernandez
4 T. Beugelsdijk
1 E. Šetkus
6 A. El Mahdioui
12 T. Trybull
14 D. Gorter
15 A. Tamata
20 R. Schaken
24 R. de Boer
27 T. David
30 J. Schouten

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Siemen Mulder · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.