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Eredivisie

Referee: Siemen Mulder

Excelsior

T T S T S

1–1

Full-time

Sparta Rotterdam

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Sparta Rotterdam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 26%

38%

13%

Points per game

1,3

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

63%

50%

Both score Ø 44%

50%

38%

Average goals

2,6

2,5

Scored

1,1

0,6

Conceded

1,5

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-1,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%

8 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 12

3 Offside 1

20 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Excelsior 9. · Sparta Rotterdam 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	8	7	0	1	+18	21
2	Zwolle	9	5	3	1	+5	18
3	Ajax	8	5	1	2	+13	16
4	Feyenoord	8	5	1	2	+10	16
5	Vitesse	7	4	2	1	+8	14
6	Heerenveen	7	4	2	1	+1	14
7	AZ Alkmaar	8	4	1	3	-1	13
8	VVV Venlo	8	3	3	2	+1	12
9	Excelsior	8	3	1	4	-3	10
10	Den Haag	8	3	1	4	-4	10
11	Heracles	8	2	3	3	-2	9
12	Groningen	9	2	3	4	-3	9
13	Utrecht	6	3	0	3	-4	9
14	Willem II	9	3	0	6	-9	9
15	NAC Breda	9	2	1	6	-8	7
16	Twente	8	2	0	6	-3	6
17	Roda	8	2	0	6	-9	6
18	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	2	5	-10	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Zwolle	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+8	9
4	Groningen	6	2	3	1	+1	9
5	Heracles	5	2	2	1	+0	8
6	Feyenoord	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Twente	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Utrecht	3	2	0	1	-2	6
9	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	0	2	-3	6
10	Vitesse	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	VVV Venlo	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Den Haag	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	NAC Breda	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Willem II	4	1	0	3	-1	3
17	Roda	3	1	0	2	-3	3
18	Excelsior	4	0	0	4	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Excelsior	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Heerenveen	4	3	1	0	+3	10
4	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	0	1	+10	9
5	Feyenoord	4	3	0	1	+6	9
6	VVV Venlo	4	2	2	0	+3	8
7	Ajax	4	2	1	1	+5	7
8	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Den Haag	3	2	0	1	+0	6
10	Zwolle	5	1	3	1	-1	6
11	Willem II	5	2	0	3	-8	6
12	Utrecht	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	NAC Breda	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Roda	5	1	0	4	-6	3
15	Heracles	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Sparta Rotterdam	4	0	1	3	-8	1
17	Groningen	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Twente	5	0	0	5	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.