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Serie A
Referee: Luca Banti
Napoli
S S S S S
0–0
Full-time
Inter
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 92%
100%
83%
Points per game
3,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
3,3
1,8
Conceded
0,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+2,8
+1,2
This season — Serie A · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 94%
100%
88%
Points per game
3,0
2,8
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
88%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,9
2,8
Scored
3,3
2,1
Conceded
0,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
+2,6
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
13 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 7
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Napoli 1. · Inter 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 8 8 0 0 +21 24
2 Inter 8 7 1 0 +12 22
3 Juventus 8 6 1 1 +14 19
4 Lazio 8 6 1 1 +11 19
5 Sampdoria 8 5 2 1 +7 17
6 Roma 7 5 0 2 +9 15
7 Bologna 8 4 2 2 +0 14
8 Torino 8 3 4 1 +1 13
9 Chievo 8 3 3 2 +0 12
10 Milan 8 4 0 4 -1 12
11 Fiorentina 8 3 1 4 +1 10
12 Atalanta 8 2 3 3 +0 9
13 Udinese 8 2 0 6 -2 6
14 Cagliari 8 2 0 6 -8 6
15 Verona 8 1 3 4 -12 6
16 Crotone 9 1 3 5 -13 6
17 Genoa 8 1 2 5 -5 5
18 Spal 8 1 2 5 -7 5
19 Sassuolo 8 1 2 5 -11 5
20 Benevento 8 0 0 8 -17 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Napoli Inter
Half-time 0–0
66′
🟨 João Miranda
71′
🔁 João Mário
↦ Borja Valero
P. Zieliński 🔁
↦ M. Hamšík
72′
M. Rog 🔁
↦ Allan
75′
A. Ounas 🔁
↦ L. Insigne
80′
83′
🔁 João Cancelo
↦ A. Candreva
87′
🔁 E. Martins
↦ M. Icardi
Kalidou Koulibaly 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Napoli

4-3-3
25 Pepe Reina G
33 Albiol D
26 K. Koulibaly D
23 E. Hysaj D
31 F. Ghoulam D
17 M. Hamšík M
5 Allan M
8 Jorginho M
14 D. Mertens F
7 José Callejón F
24 L. Insigne F
Bench (11)
20 P. Zieliński
30 M. Rog
37 A. Ounas
1 Rafael
6 Mário Rui
11 C. Maggio
15 E. Giaccherini
19 N. Maksimović
21 V. Chiricheș
22 L. Sepe
42 A. Diawara

Coach: M. Sarri

Inter

4-2-3-1
1 S. Handanovič G
25 João Miranda D
55 Y. Nagatomo D
33 D. D'Ambrosio D
37 M. Škriniar D
44 I. Perišić M
87 A. Candreva M
20 Borja Valero M
11 M. Vecino M
5 R. Gagliardini M
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (10)
10 João Mário
7 João Cancelo
23 E. Martins
13 A. Ranocchia
17 Y. Karamoh
21 D. Santon
27 D. Padelli
29 Dalbert Henrique
46 T. Berni
99 A. Pinamonti

Coach: L. Spalletti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Luca Banti · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.