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La Liga

Referee: Pablo Gonzales Fuertes

Barcelona

S S S S U

2–0

Full-time

Malaga

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,7

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,8

3,3

Scored

3,3

0,7

Conceded

0,5

2,7

Goal diff per game

+2,8

-2,0

This season — La Liga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 44%

88%

Points per game

2,8

0,1

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

63%

38%

Both score Ø 32%

38%

25%

Average goals

3,4

2,8

Scored

3,0

0,5

Conceded

0,4

2,3

Goal diff per game

+2,6

-1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

65% Possession 35%

12 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 3

2 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 1. · Malaga 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	7	1	0	+21	22
2	Valencia	9	6	3	0	+15	21
3	Real Madrid	8	5	2	1	+8	17
4	Ath Madrid	8	4	4	0	+8	16
5	Betis	9	5	1	3	+2	16
6	Sevilla	9	5	1	3	+1	16
7	Leganes	8	4	2	2	+4	14
8	Sociedad	8	4	1	3	+2	13
9	Villarreal	8	4	1	3	+1	13
10	Celta	8	3	2	3	+5	11
11	Ath Bilbao	8	3	2	3	+1	11
12	Levante	9	2	5	2	-2	11
13	Getafe	9	2	3	4	+1	9
14	Espanol	8	2	3	3	-4	9
15	La Coruna	8	2	2	4	-7	8
16	Eibar	8	2	1	5	-14	7
17	Girona	8	1	3	4	-6	6
18	Las Palmas	8	2	0	6	-11	6
19	Alaves	9	1	0	8	-11	3
20	Malaga	8	0	1	7	-14	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Valencia	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+15	12
3	Betis	5	4	0	1	+5	12
4	Sevilla	4	3	1	0	+6	10
5	Levante	6	2	3	1	+2	9
6	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+5	7
7	Espanol	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+3	7
9	Ath Bilbao	4	2	1	1	+2	7
10	La Coruna	4	2	0	2	-3	6
11	Real Madrid	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Celta	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Leganes	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Sociedad	4	1	1	2	+0	4
15	Girona	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Eibar	4	1	1	2	-4	4
17	Getafe	4	1	0	3	+1	3
18	Las Palmas	4	1	0	3	-8	3
19	Malaga	4	0	1	3	-5	1
20	Alaves	4	0	0	4	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Barcelona	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Ath Madrid	5	2	3	0	+5	9
4	Leganes	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Sociedad	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	Valencia	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Celta	4	2	0	2	+5	6
8	Getafe	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	Villarreal	5	2	0	3	-4	6
10	Sevilla	5	2	0	3	-5	6
11	Ath Bilbao	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Betis	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Las Palmas	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Alaves	5	1	0	4	-3	3
15	Eibar	4	1	0	3	-10	3
16	Girona	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	La Coruna	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Levante	3	0	2	1	-4	2
19	Espanol	4	0	2	2	-7	2
20	Malaga	4	0	0	4	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.