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Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Brych
M'gladbach
T S U S S
2–1
Full-time
Leverkusen
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 3
3 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. May -16 M'gladbach – Leverkusen 2–1 12. Dec -15 Leverkusen – M'gladbach 5–0

Match report

M'gladbach Leverkusen
Christoph Kramer 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Hahn ⚽
46′
J. Vestergaard 🔁
↦ T. Jantschke
46′
F. Johnson 🔁
↦ I. Traoré
61′
64′
🟨 Ömer Toprak
64′
🔁 A. Mehmedi
↦ H. Çalhanoğlu
64′
🔁 J. Brandt
↦ K. Volland
Lars Stindl 🟨
74′
74′
🟨 Karim Bellarabi
75′
🟨 Wendell
78′
🔁 J. Pohjanpalo
↦ C. Aránguiz
79′
⚽ J. Pohjanpalo 1–1
K. Bellarabi
T. Hazard 🔁
↦ A. Hahn
84′
2–1 L. Stindl ⚽
T. Hazard
85′
Tobias Strobl 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

M'gladbach

3-4-1-2
1 Y. Sommer G
17 O. Wendt D
24 T. Jantschke D
5 T. Strobl M
3 A. Christensen D
30 N. Elvedi D
16 I. Traoré M
13 L. Stindl F
28 A. Hahn F
6 C. Kramer M
11 Raffael F
Bench (7)
4 J. Vestergaard
19 F. Johnson
10 T. Hazard
7 P. Herrmann
8 M. Dahoud
21 T. Sippel
23 J. Hofmann

Coach: A. Schubert

Leverkusen

4-4-2
1 B. Leno G
21 Ö. Toprak D
18 Wendell D
16 T. Jedvaj D
4 J. Tah D
20 C. Aránguiz M
15 J. Baumgartlinger M
38 K. Bellarabi M
44 K. Kampl M
31 K. Volland F
10 H. Çalhanoğlu F
Bench (7)
14 A. Mehmedi
19 J. Brandt
17 J. Pohjanpalo
5 K. Papadopoulos
13 R. Hilbert
28 R. Özcan
39 B. Henrichs

Coach: R. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Felix Brych · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.