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Bundesliga

Referee: Sascha Stegemann

Freiburg

U T U T T

0–2

Full-time

Wolfsburg

U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Wolfsburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

0,5

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 18%

21%

14%

Points per game

1,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

50%

43%

Both score Ø 56%

50%

61%

Average goals

2,6

2,3

Scored

0,9

1,0

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

13 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

9 Corners 3

17 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Freiburg 14. · Wolfsburg 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	28	22	3	3	+52	69
2	Schalke 04	28	15	7	6	+13	52
3	Dortmund	28	13	9	6	+15	48
4	RB Leipzig	28	13	7	8	+6	46
5	Leverkusen	28	12	9	7	+12	45
6	Ein Frankfurt	28	13	6	9	+7	45
7	Hoffenheim	28	11	9	8	+11	42
8	Stuttgart	28	11	5	12	-5	38
9	M'gladbach	28	10	7	11	-6	37
10	Augsburg	28	9	9	10	+1	36
11	Hertha	28	8	12	8	+0	36
12	Werder Bremen	29	9	9	11	-2	36
13	Hannover	29	9	8	12	-6	35
14	Freiburg	28	6	12	10	-20	30
15	Wolfsburg	28	4	14	10	-9	26
16	Mainz	28	6	8	14	-17	26
17	FC Koln	28	5	5	18	-28	20
18	Hamburg	28	4	7	17	-24	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	12	2	0	+37	38
2	Hoffenheim	14	8	4	2	+16	28
3	RB Leipzig	14	8	4	2	+11	28
4	Schalke 04	14	8	4	2	+9	28
5	Stuttgart	14	8	3	3	+5	27
6	Dortmund	14	7	4	3	+13	25
7	Ein Frankfurt	14	7	3	4	+7	24
8	Hannover	15	7	3	5	+4	24
9	Leverkusen	14	6	5	3	+7	23
10	Werder Bremen	14	6	4	4	+3	22
11	M'gladbach	14	6	4	4	+2	22
12	Freiburg	14	5	6	3	-1	21
13	Augsburg	14	5	4	5	+2	19
14	Hertha	14	4	6	4	-1	18
15	Mainz	14	5	3	6	-3	18
16	Wolfsburg	14	2	7	5	-3	13
17	Hamburg	14	3	4	7	-5	13
18	FC Koln	14	3	3	8	-8	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	10	1	3	+15	31
2	Schalke 04	14	7	3	4	+4	24
3	Dortmund	14	6	5	3	+2	23
4	Leverkusen	14	6	4	4	+5	22
5	Ein Frankfurt	14	6	3	5	+0	21
6	Hertha	14	4	6	4	+1	18
7	RB Leipzig	14	5	3	6	-5	18
8	Augsburg	14	4	5	5	-1	17
9	M'gladbach	14	4	3	7	-8	15
10	Hoffenheim	14	3	5	6	-5	14
11	Werder Bremen	15	3	5	7	-5	14
12	Wolfsburg	14	2	7	5	-6	13
13	Stuttgart	14	3	2	9	-10	11
14	Hannover	14	2	5	7	-10	11
15	Freiburg	14	1	6	7	-19	9
16	Mainz	14	1	5	8	-14	8
17	FC Koln	14	2	2	10	-20	8
18	Hamburg	14	1	3	10	-19	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.