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Bundesliga
Referee: Sven Jablonski
Ein Frankfurt
T T S U T
3–1
Full-time
Freiburg
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Freiburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 38%
47%
29%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
76%
41%
Both score Ø 65%
71%
59%
Average goals
3,4
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

46% Possession 54%
9 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 6. · Freiburg 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 17 13 3 1 +26 42
2 Bayern Munich 18 12 3 3 +20 39
3 M'gladbach 17 10 3 4 +18 33
4 RB Leipzig 17 9 4 4 +14 31
5 Wolfsburg 17 8 4 5 +5 28
6 Ein Frankfurt 17 8 3 6 +11 27
7 Hoffenheim 18 6 7 5 +7 25
8 Hertha 17 6 6 5 -1 24
9 Leverkusen 17 7 3 7 -3 24
10 Werder Bremen 17 6 4 7 -1 22
11 Freiburg 17 5 6 6 -4 21
12 Mainz 17 5 6 6 -5 21
13 Schalke 04 17 5 3 9 -4 18
14 Fortuna Dusseldorf 17 5 3 9 -14 18
15 Augsburg 17 3 6 8 -4 15
16 Stuttgart 17 4 2 11 -23 14
17 Hannover 17 2 5 10 -18 11
18 Nurnberg 17 2 5 10 -24 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Freiburg
Gélson Fernandes 🟨
31′
34′
🟨 Jérôme Gondorf
1–0 S. Haller
A. Rebić
36′
2–0 A. Rebić
O. N'Dicka
40′
3–0 L. Jović
45′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 L. Höler
↦ L. Waldschmidt
46′
🔁 N. Petersen
↦ F. Niederlechner
J. Willems 🔁
↦ L. Jović
68′
69′
N. Petersen 3–1
J. Gondorf
Sebastian Rode 🟨
70′
J. de Guzmán 🔁
↦ S. Rode
72′
80′
🔁 P. Stenzel
↦ L. Kübler
M. Stendera 🔁
↦ J. Willems
92′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

3-4-1-2
31 K. Trapp G
19 D. Abraham D
24 D. da Costa M
2 O. N'Dicka D
20 M. Hasebe D
5 G. Fernandes M
17 S. Rode M
10 F. Kostić M
9 S. Haller F
4 A. Rebić F
8 L. Jović F
Bench (7)
15 J. Willems
6 J. de Guzmán
21 M. Stendera
1 F. Rønnow
3 S. Falette
23 M. Russ
39 Gonçalo Paciência

Coach: A. Hütter

Freiburg

3-4-3
1 A. Schwolow G
5 M. Gulde D
17 L. Kübler D
23 D. Heintz D
25 R. Koch M
8 M. Frantz M
20 J. Gondorf M
19 J. Haberer M
32 V. Grifo M
7 F. Niederlechner F
11 L. Waldschmidt F
Bench (7)
9 L. Höler
18 N. Petersen
15 P. Stenzel
3 P. Lienhart
13 M. Terrazzino
16 Y. Ravet
26 M. Flekken

Coach: C. Streich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sven Jablonski · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,02 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.