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Bundesliga
Referee: Marco Fritz
Hannover
T U T U T
0–1
Full-time
Werder Bremen
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover Werder Bremen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 24%
12%
35%
Points per game
0,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
59%
65%
Both score Ø 80%
71%
88%
Average goals
3,1
3,4
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
2,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
10 Shots 23
1 Shots on target 13
5 Blocked shots 3
12 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 8
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hannover 17. · Werder Bremen 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 17 13 3 1 +26 42
2 Bayern Munich 18 12 3 3 +20 39
3 M'gladbach 17 10 3 4 +18 33
4 RB Leipzig 17 9 4 4 +14 31
5 Wolfsburg 17 8 4 5 +5 28
6 Ein Frankfurt 17 8 3 6 +11 27
7 Hoffenheim 18 6 7 5 +7 25
8 Hertha 17 6 6 5 -1 24
9 Leverkusen 17 7 3 7 -3 24
10 Werder Bremen 17 6 4 7 -1 22
11 Freiburg 17 5 6 6 -4 21
12 Mainz 17 5 6 6 -5 21
13 Schalke 04 17 5 3 9 -4 18
14 Fortuna Dusseldorf 17 5 3 9 -14 18
15 Augsburg 17 3 6 8 -4 15
16 Stuttgart 17 4 2 11 -23 14
17 Hannover 17 2 5 10 -18 11
18 Nurnberg 17 2 5 10 -24 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hannover Werder Bremen
32′
M. Rashica 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Oliver Sorg 🟨
56′
Jonathas 🔁
↦ B. Wood
63′
63′
🔁 P. Bargfrede
↦ M. Harnik
Nicolai Müller 🟨
67′
70′
🟨 Ludwig Augustinsson
I. Fossum 🔁
↦ P. Schwegler
72′
80′
🔁 J. Sargent
↦ M. Rashica
Kevin Akpoguma 🟨
82′
86′
🔁 K. Möhwald
↦ N. Şahin
Felipe 🔁
↦ O. Sorg
87′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Hannover

3-4-2-1
23 M. Esser G
3 M. Albornoz D
25 O. Sorg D
28 K. Wimmer D
14 K. Akpoguma D
31 W. Anton D
27 P. Schwegler M
21 N. Müller M
8 Walace M
26 H. Weydandt F
17 B. Wood F
Bench (7)
9 Jonathas
18 I. Fossum
5 Felipe
19 S. Sahin-Radlinger
6 M. Bakalorz
22 M. Ostrzolek
34 T. Dierßen

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Werder Bremen

4-3-1-2
1 J. Pavlenka G
15 S. Langkamp D
18 N. Moisander D
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
5 L. Augustinsson D
17 N. Şahin M
30 D. Klaassen M
11 M. Rashica F
35 M. Eggestein M
9 M. Harnik F
10 M. Kruse F
Bench (7)
44 P. Bargfrede
19 J. Sargent
6 K. Möhwald
32 M. Friedl
4 C. Pizarro
13 M. Veljkovic
27 S. Kapino

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Marco Fritz · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.