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Pro League
Referee: Kevin van Damme
Eupen
S T S T S
4–1
Full-time
Lokeren
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Lokeren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
This season — Pro League · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 26%
38%
14%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
57%
52%
Both score Ø 50%
48%
52%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

7 Corners 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 11. · Lokeren 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 15 10 4 1 +21 34
2 St Truiden 22 8 9 5 +7 33
3 Standard 16 9 5 2 +15 32
4 Antwerp 14 10 1 3 +10 31
5 Charleroi 21 9 3 9 +3 30
6 Gent 14 9 2 3 +15 29
7 Kortrijk 22 7 7 8 -3 28
8 Club Brugge 14 8 3 3 +16 27
9 Anderlecht 15 8 3 4 +10 27
10 Cercle Brugge 21 7 4 10 -15 25
11 Eupen 21 8 1 12 -16 25
12 Oostende 21 6 5 10 -16 23
13 Beveren 21 4 8 9 -7 20
14 Waregem 21 5 5 11 -13 20
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 21 4 5 12 -11 17
16 Lokeren 21 3 5 13 -16 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen Lokeren
1–0 Mamadou Fall
5′
Sulayman Marreh 🟨
30′
2–0 Yuta Toyokawa
40′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Geoffrey Bia
↦ Steve De Ridder
3–0 Siebe Blondelle
59′
61′
🔁 Jakub Řezníček
↦ Đorđe Jovanović
4–0 Siebe Blondelle
62′
65′
Jakub Řezníček 4–1
68′
🟨 Geoffrey Bia
Youssef Msakni 🔁
↦ Cheick Keita
85′
David Pollet 🔁
↦ Yuta Toyokawa
85′
Remi Mulumba 🔁
↦ Danijel Miličević
87′
88′
🔁 Mehdi Terki
↦ Ari Freyr Skúlason
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Eupen

4-5-1
1 Hendrik Van Crombrugge G
14 Alessio Castro-Montes M
25 Rocky Bushiri Kiranga D
22 Siebe Blondelle D
24 Silas Gnaka D
70 Mamadou Fall F
15 Sulayman Marreh M
77 Danijel Miličević M
10 Luis Garcia F
3 Cheick Keita D
20 Yuta Toyokawa F
Bench (7)
30 Babacar Niasse Mbaye
4 Jordan Lotiès
44 Xavier Molina
6 Remi Mulumba
18 Nils Schouterden
9 David Pollet
17 Youssef Msakni

Coach: C. Makélélé

Lokeren

4-4-2
12 Ortwin De Wolf G
18 Bambo Diaby D
32 Jakov Filipović D
3 Olivier Deschacht D
6 Ari Freyr Skúlason D
7 Killian Overmeire M
23 Lukáš Mareček M
21 Marko Miric F
22 Steve De Ridder M
99 Đorđe Jovanović F
11 Knowledge Musona F
Bench (9)
13 Davino Verhulst
25 Mickael Tirpan
26 Arno Monsecour
35 Tracy Mpati
91 Mario Tičinović
63 Geoffrey Bia
10 Jose Francisco Cevallos
37 Jakub Řezníček
14 Mehdi Terki

Coach: T. Sollied

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kevin van Damme · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.