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Bundesliga

Referee: Tobias Stieler

Leverkusen

T S S T S

3–1

Full-time

Bayern Munich

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Bayern Munich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

67%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,7

3,0

Conceded

0,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+2,7

This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 55%

42%

68%

Points per game

1,4

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

63%

74%

Both score Ø 58%

58%

Average goals

3,1

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

1,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%

10 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leverkusen 9. · Bayern Munich 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	19	15	3	1	+31	48
2	Bayern Munich	19	13	3	3	+23	42
3	M'gladbach	19	12	3	4	+21	39
4	RB Leipzig	20	11	4	5	+20	37
5	Ein Frankfurt	19	9	4	6	+13	31
6	Hoffenheim	19	7	7	5	+9	28
7	Hertha	19	7	7	5	+1	28
8	Wolfsburg	19	8	4	7	+1	28
9	Leverkusen	19	8	3	8	-1	27
10	Mainz	19	7	6	6	-3	27
11	Werder Bremen	19	7	5	7	+0	26
12	Schalke 04	19	6	4	9	-3	22
13	Freiburg	19	5	6	8	-8	21
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	19	6	3	10	-17	21
15	Augsburg	19	3	6	10	-7	15
16	Stuttgart	19	4	2	13	-27	14
17	Hannover	20	2	5	13	-26	11
18	Nurnberg	19	2	5	12	-27	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	10	9	1	0	+22	28
2	M'gladbach	9	9	0	0	+22	27
3	RB Leipzig	10	7	2	1	+17	23
4	Bayern Munich	9	5	3	1	+8	18
5	Ein Frankfurt	9	5	1	3	+10	16
6	Hertha	9	4	4	1	+3	16
7	Mainz	10	4	4	2	+2	16
8	Hoffenheim	10	3	4	3	+3	13
9	Freiburg	10	3	4	3	+0	13
10	Werder Bremen	10	3	4	3	-1	13
11	Leverkusen	9	4	1	4	-2	13
12	Schalke 04	9	4	0	5	-1	12
13	Wolfsburg	10	3	3	4	-4	12
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	4	0	6	-5	12
15	Stuttgart	9	3	1	5	-10	10
16	Nurnberg	10	2	3	5	-4	9
17	Augsburg	9	1	4	4	-2	7
18	Hannover	10	2	1	7	-11	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	10	8	0	2	+15	24
2	Dortmund	9	6	2	1	+9	20
3	Wolfsburg	9	5	1	3	+5	16
4	Hoffenheim	9	4	3	2	+6	15
5	Ein Frankfurt	10	4	3	3	+3	15
6	RB Leipzig	10	4	2	4	+3	14
7	Leverkusen	10	4	2	4	+1	14
8	Werder Bremen	9	4	1	4	+1	13
9	M'gladbach	10	3	3	4	-1	12
10	Hertha	10	3	3	4	-2	12
11	Mainz	9	3	2	4	-5	11
12	Schalke 04	10	2	4	4	-2	10
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	2	3	4	-12	9
14	Augsburg	10	2	2	6	-5	8
15	Freiburg	9	2	2	5	-8	8
16	Hannover	10	0	4	6	-15	4
17	Stuttgart	10	1	1	8	-17	4
18	Nurnberg	9	0	2	7	-23	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.