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Serie A

Referee: Piero Giacomelli

Juventus

S U S S S

3–3

Full-time

Parma

U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Parma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 64%

90%

38%

Points per game

2,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

52%

48%

Both score Ø 46%

48%

43%

Average goals

2,6

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

0,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

68% Possession 32%

28 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 5

12 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

12 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Juventus 1. · Parma 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	21	19	2	0	+31	59
2	Napoli	22	16	3	3	+24	51
3	Inter	21	12	4	5	+16	40
4	Milan	21	9	8	4	+8	35
5	Roma	21	9	7	5	+11	34
6	Sampdoria	22	9	6	7	+10	33
7	Atalanta	21	9	5	7	+17	32
8	Lazio	21	9	5	7	+5	32
9	Fiorentina	21	7	9	5	+8	30
10	Torino	21	7	9	5	+5	30
11	Sassuolo	21	7	8	6	+1	29
12	Parma	21	8	4	9	-6	28
13	Genoa	21	6	5	10	-10	23
14	Cagliari	21	4	9	8	-11	21
15	Spal	21	5	6	10	-11	21
16	Udinese	21	4	6	11	-12	18
17	Empoli	22	4	6	12	-17	18
18	Bologna	21	2	8	11	-18	14
19	Frosinone	21	2	7	12	-26	13
20	Chievo	22	1	9	12	-25	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	12	10	2	0	+21	32
2	Juventus	11	10	1	0	+17	31
3	Inter	10	7	2	1	+13	23
4	Roma	10	6	3	1	+11	21
5	Milan	11	6	3	2	+4	21
6	Sampdoria	10	6	2	2	+11	20
7	Fiorentina	10	5	3	2	+9	18
8	Lazio	11	5	3	3	+5	18
9	Sassuolo	11	4	5	2	+1	17
10	Torino	10	5	1	4	+2	16
11	Genoa	11	4	4	3	+1	16
12	Atalanta	10	4	3	3	+8	15
13	Cagliari	10	3	6	1	+3	15
14	Empoli	12	4	2	6	-4	14
15	Parma	11	3	4	4	-2	13
16	Spal	10	2	5	3	-3	11
17	Udinese	11	3	2	6	-6	11
18	Bologna	10	2	3	5	-8	9
19	Chievo	11	1	4	6	-10	7
20	Frosinone	10	0	5	5	-15	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	10	9	1	0	+14	28
2	Napoli	10	6	1	3	+3	19
3	Atalanta	11	5	2	4	+9	17
4	Inter	11	5	2	4	+3	17
5	Parma	10	5	0	5	-4	15
6	Milan	10	3	5	2	+4	14
7	Torino	11	2	8	1	+3	14
8	Lazio	10	4	2	4	+0	14
9	Roma	11	3	4	4	+0	13
10	Sampdoria	12	3	4	5	-1	13
11	Sassuolo	10	3	3	4	+0	12
12	Fiorentina	11	2	6	3	-1	12
13	Spal	11	3	1	7	-8	10
14	Frosinone	11	2	2	7	-11	8
15	Udinese	10	1	4	5	-6	7
16	Genoa	10	2	1	7	-11	7
17	Cagliari	11	1	3	7	-14	6
18	Bologna	11	0	5	6	-10	5
19	Chievo	11	0	5	6	-15	5
20	Empoli	10	0	4	6	-13	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.