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Eredivisie
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
AZ Alkmaar
S S T S S
5–0
Full-time
FC Emmen
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar FC Emmen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 37%
47%
26%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
68%
63%
Both score Ø 64%
53%
74%
Average goals
3,2
3,4
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,4
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

55% Possession 45%
21 Shots 3
9 Shots on target 0
6 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 4. · FC Emmen 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 19 17 1 1 +53 52
2 Ajax 20 16 2 2 +54 50
3 Feyenoord 19 12 3 4 +17 39
4 AZ Alkmaar 19 9 4 6 +9 31
5 Heracles 18 8 2 8 -5 26
6 VVV Venlo 20 7 5 8 -8 26
7 Utrecht 17 7 4 6 +2 25
8 Willem II 20 7 4 9 -6 25
9 Vitesse 18 6 6 6 +1 24
10 For Sittard 19 6 5 8 -4 23
11 Heerenveen 20 5 7 8 -5 22
12 Groningen 19 6 3 10 -3 21
13 Zwolle 19 6 3 10 -9 21
14 Den Haag 19 5 6 8 -13 21
15 FC Emmen 19 5 6 8 -16 21
16 Excelsior 19 5 4 10 -21 19
17 De Graafschap 20 5 3 12 -24 18
18 NAC Breda 20 4 4 12 -22 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Aug -18 FC Emmen – AZ Alkmaar 1–4

Match report

AZ Alkmaar FC Emmen
1–0 T. Koopmeiners
10′
13′
🟨 Gersom Klok
2–0 T. Koopmeiners
30′
2–1 M. de Leeuw
own goal
35′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 N. Neidhart
↦ G. Klok
46′
🔁 A. Lukić
↦ A. Bannink
3–1 C. Stengs
A. Maher
47′
B. Johnsen 🔁
↦ M. Seuntjens
53′
74′
🔁 S. Braken
↦ M. de Leeuw
P. Hatzidiakos 🔁
↦ R. Vlaar
80′
4–1 B. Johnsen
C. Stengs
86′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 M. Bizot G
4 R. Vlaar D
2 J. Svensson D
5 T. Ouwejan D
26 A. Maher M
6 F. Midtsjø M
20 M. Seuntjens F
8 T. Koopmeiners M
10 G. Til M
11 O. Idrissi F
7 C. Stengs F
Bench (8)
9 B. Johnsen
12 P. Hatzidiakos
15 O. Wijndal
18 M. Vejinovic
34 R. van Rhijn
22 P. Velthuizen
28 A. Gudmundsson
23 L. Bergsma

Coach: J. van den Brom

FC Emmen

4-2-3-1
12 K. Scherpen G
5 G. Klok D
22 C. Cavlan D
4 N. Bakker D
13 K. Veendorp D
23 G. Bijl M
10 A. Bannink M
20 M. Chacón M
6 A. Jansen F
15 M. de Leeuw M
25 J. Arias F
Bench (11)
29 N. Neidhart
44 A. Lukić
99 S. Braken
1 P. van der Vlag
33 N. Kuipers
9 N. Pedersen
17 L. Slagveer
8 H. Ben Moussa
26 D. Telgenkamp
11 R. Niemeijer
32 R. de Vos

Coach: D. Lukkien

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.