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Serie A

Referee: Luca J Pairetto

Napoli

S T S S U

3–0

Full-time

Sampdoria

S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Sampdoria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

3,8

Scored

1,2

2,7

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,5

This season — Serie A · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 57%

71%

43%

Points per game

2,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

62%

57%

Both score Ø 50%

48%

52%

Average goals

2,7

3,1

Scored

1,9

Conceded

0,9

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

57% Possession 43%

21 Shots 14

9 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

5 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Napoli 2. · Sampdoria 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	21	19	2	0	+31	59
2	Napoli	21	15	3	3	+21	48
3	Inter	21	12	4	5	+16	40
4	Milan	21	9	8	4	+8	35
5	Roma	21	9	7	5	+11	34
6	Sampdoria	21	9	6	6	+13	33
7	Atalanta	21	9	5	7	+17	32
8	Lazio	21	9	5	7	+5	32
9	Fiorentina	21	7	9	5	+8	30
10	Torino	21	7	9	5	+5	30
11	Sassuolo	21	7	8	6	+1	29
12	Parma	21	8	4	9	-6	28
13	Genoa	21	6	5	10	-10	23
14	Cagliari	21	4	9	8	-11	21
15	Spal	21	5	6	10	-11	21
16	Udinese	21	4	6	11	-12	18
17	Empoli	22	4	6	12	-17	18
18	Bologna	21	2	8	11	-18	14
19	Frosinone	21	2	7	12	-26	13
20	Chievo	22	1	9	12	-25	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	11	10	1	0	+17	31
2	Napoli	11	9	2	0	+18	29
3	Inter	10	7	2	1	+13	23
4	Roma	10	6	3	1	+11	21
5	Milan	11	6	3	2	+4	21
6	Sampdoria	10	6	2	2	+11	20
7	Fiorentina	10	5	3	2	+9	18
8	Lazio	11	5	3	3	+5	18
9	Sassuolo	11	4	5	2	+1	17
10	Torino	10	5	1	4	+2	16
11	Genoa	11	4	4	3	+1	16
12	Atalanta	10	4	3	3	+8	15
13	Cagliari	10	3	6	1	+3	15
14	Empoli	12	4	2	6	-4	14
15	Parma	11	3	4	4	-2	13
16	Spal	10	2	5	3	-3	11
17	Udinese	11	3	2	6	-6	11
18	Bologna	10	2	3	5	-8	9
19	Chievo	11	1	4	6	-10	7
20	Frosinone	10	0	5	5	-15	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	10	9	1	0	+14	28
2	Napoli	10	6	1	3	+3	19
3	Atalanta	11	5	2	4	+9	17
4	Inter	11	5	2	4	+3	17
5	Parma	10	5	0	5	-4	15
6	Milan	10	3	5	2	+4	14
7	Torino	11	2	8	1	+3	14
8	Lazio	10	4	2	4	+0	14
9	Sampdoria	11	3	4	4	+2	13
10	Roma	11	3	4	4	+0	13
11	Sassuolo	10	3	3	4	+0	12
12	Fiorentina	11	2	6	3	-1	12
13	Spal	11	3	1	7	-8	10
14	Frosinone	11	2	2	7	-11	8
15	Udinese	10	1	4	5	-6	7
16	Genoa	10	2	1	7	-11	7
17	Cagliari	11	1	3	7	-14	6
18	Bologna	11	0	5	6	-10	5
19	Chievo	11	0	5	6	-15	5
20	Empoli	10	0	4	6	-13	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.