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Bundesliga
Referee: Daniel Siebert
Hoffenheim
U T S U U
3–0
Full-time
Hannover
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Hannover
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 24%
33%
14%
Points per game
1,4
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
71%
57%
Both score Ø 76%
90%
62%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

61% Possession 39%
27 Shots 6
11 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
10 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hoffenheim 9. · Hannover 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 21 15 5 1 +31 50
2 Bayern Munich 22 15 3 4 +24 48
3 M'gladbach 21 13 3 5 +20 42
4 RB Leipzig 21 11 5 5 +20 38
5 Ein Frankfurt 21 9 6 6 +13 33
6 Leverkusen 21 10 3 8 +5 33
7 Wolfsburg 21 9 5 7 +2 32
8 Hertha 21 8 7 6 +3 31
9 Hoffenheim 21 7 9 5 +9 30
10 Werder Bremen 21 8 6 7 +4 30
11 Mainz 21 7 6 8 -10 27
12 Fortuna Dusseldorf 21 7 4 10 -14 25
13 Freiburg 21 5 8 8 -8 23
14 Schalke 04 21 6 4 11 -7 22
15 Augsburg 22 4 6 12 -9 18
16 Stuttgart 21 4 3 14 -30 15
17 Hannover 21 3 5 13 -24 14
18 Nurnberg 21 2 6 13 -29 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hoffenheim Hannover
1–0 Joelinton
4′
2–0 I. Belfodil
K. Demirbay
14′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 T. Asano
↦ M. Bakalorz
61′
🟨 Walace
67′
🔁 B. Wood
↦ Jonathas
67′
🔁 P. Schwegler
↦ Walace
L. Bittencourt 🔁
↦ Joelinton
74′
Á. Szalai 🔁
↦ A. Kramarić
79′
3–0 K. Demirbay
N. Schulz
80′
D. Otto 🔁
↦ I. Belfodil
85′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Hoffenheim

3-4-2-1
1 O. Baumann G
22 K. Vogt D
3 P. Kadeřábek M
38 S. Posch D
15 K. Nuhu D
16 N. Schulz M
10 K. Demirbay M
18 N. Amiri M
27 A. Kramarić F
19 I. Belfodil F
34 Joelinton F
Bench (7)
13 L. Bittencourt
28 Á. Szalai
26 D. Otto
2 J. Brenet
9 R. Nelson
33 A. Stolz
42 C. Baumgartner

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Hannover

5-4-1
23 M. Esser G
5 Felipe D
22 M. Ostrzolek M
4 J. Korb M
28 K. Wimmer D
31 W. Anton D
6 M. Bakalorz M
21 N. Müller M
10 G. Haraguchi M
8 Walace M
9 Jonathas F
Bench (7)
11 T. Asano
17 B. Wood
27 P. Schwegler
3 M. Albornoz
19 S. Sahin-Radlinger
25 O. Sorg
26 H. Weydandt

Coach: T. Doll

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Daniel Siebert · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.