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Bundesliga
Referee: Frank Willenborg
Schalke 04
S S U T T
0–0
Full-time
Freiburg
S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Freiburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,8
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 27%
29%
24%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
52%
52%
Both score Ø 62%
57%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,1
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
12 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 9
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Schalke 04 14. · Freiburg 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 21 15 5 1 +31 50
2 Bayern Munich 22 15 3 4 +24 48
3 M'gladbach 21 13 3 5 +20 42
4 RB Leipzig 21 11 5 5 +20 38
5 Ein Frankfurt 21 9 6 6 +13 33
6 Leverkusen 21 10 3 8 +5 33
7 Wolfsburg 21 9 5 7 +2 32
8 Hertha 21 8 7 6 +3 31
9 Hoffenheim 21 7 9 5 +9 30
10 Werder Bremen 21 8 6 7 +4 30
11 Mainz 21 7 6 8 -10 27
12 Fortuna Dusseldorf 21 7 4 10 -14 25
13 Freiburg 21 5 8 8 -8 23
14 Schalke 04 21 6 4 11 -7 22
15 Augsburg 22 4 6 12 -9 18
16 Stuttgart 21 4 3 14 -30 15
17 Hannover 21 3 5 13 -24 14
18 Nurnberg 21 2 6 13 -29 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Freiburg
31′
🟨 Amir Abrashi
Suat Serdar 🟥
42′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 L. Waldschmidt
↦ M. Frantz
46′
🔁 J. Gondorf
↦ L. Höler
N. Bentaleb 🔁
↦ A. Harit
66′
79′
🟨 Dominique Heintz
G. Burgstaller 🔁
↦ A. Kutucu
83′
87′
🟨 Christian Günter
88′
🔁 F. Niederlechner
↦ J. Haberer
J. Bruma 🔁
↦ R. Matondo
89′
90′
🟨 Christian Günter
90′
🟥 Christian Günter
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Schalke 04

4-2-3-1
1 R. Fährmann G
24 B. Oczipka M
5 M. Nastasić D
26 S. Sané D
6 Omar Mascarell M
8 S. Serdar M
25 A. Harit M
2 W. McKennie M
7 M. Uth F
14 R. Matondo
15 A. Kutucu F
Bench (7)
10 N. Bentaleb
19 G. Burgstaller
27 J. Bruma
11 Y. Konoplyanka
13 S. Rudy
23 C. Teuchert
34 M. Langer

Coach: D. Tedesco

Freiburg

4-2-2-2
1 A. Schwolow G
17 L. Kübler D
23 D. Heintz D
30 C. Günter D
3 P. Lienhart D
6 A. Abrashi M
8 M. Frantz M
19 J. Haberer M
32 V. Grifo M
18 N. Petersen F
9 L. Höler F
Bench (7)
11 L. Waldschmidt
20 J. Gondorf
7 F. Niederlechner
13 M. Terrazzino
15 P. Stenzel
26 M. Flekken
31 K. Schlotterbeck

Coach: C. Streich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Frank Willenborg · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.