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Bundesliga
Referee: Markus Schmidt
Hannover
S T T U T
2–0
Full-time
Hoffenheim
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover Hoffenheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 40%
36%
43%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
57%
Both score Ø 61%
64%
57%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
12 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 1
0 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hannover 10. · Hoffenheim 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 15 11 2 2 +24 35
2 RB Leipzig 15 8 3 4 +3 27
3 Schalke 04 15 7 5 3 +6 26
4 M'gladbach 15 7 4 4 -2 25
5 Leverkusen 15 6 6 3 +10 24
6 Hoffenheim 14 6 5 3 +7 23
7 Dortmund 15 6 4 5 +12 22
8 Augsburg 14 6 4 4 +5 22
9 Ein Frankfurt 15 6 4 5 +1 22
10 Hannover 14 5 4 5 -2 19
11 Wolfsburg 15 3 9 3 +1 18
12 Hertha 14 4 5 5 -2 17
13 Stuttgart 15 5 2 8 -6 17
14 Mainz 15 4 4 7 -7 16
15 Hamburg 15 4 3 8 -7 15
16 Freiburg 15 3 6 6 -15 15
17 Werder Bremen 15 3 5 7 -6 14
18 FC Koln 15 0 3 12 -22 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hannover Hoffenheim
22′
🟨 Dennis Geiger
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 K. Akpoguma
↦ D. Geiger
Ihlas Bebou 🟨
53′
54′
🟨 Andrej Kramarić
1–0 N. Füllkrug
S. Sané
59′
O. Sorg 🔁
↦ I. Bebou
65′
65′
🔁 Á. Szalai
↦ L. Rupp
67′
🟨 Pavel Kadeřábek
Pirmin Schwegler 🟨
69′
72′
🟨 Kevin Vogt
73′
🔁 N. Schulz
↦ S. Zuber
M. Harnik 🔁
↦ N. Füllkrug
77′
K. Karaman 🔁
↦ C. Benschop
83′
85′
🟨 Nadiem Amiri
2–0 M. Harnik
F. Klaus
85′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hannover

4-1-4-1
1 P. Tschauner G
22 M. Ostrzolek M
4 J. Korb M
31 W. Anton D
27 P. Schwegler M
6 M. Bakalorz M
11 F. Klaus M
20 S. Sané D
35 C. Benschop F
24 N. Füllkrug F
13 I. Bebou M
Bench (7)
25 O. Sorg
14 M. Harnik
26 K. Karaman
18 I. Fossum
19 F. Hübner
23 M. Esser
37 N. Sarenren-Bazee

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Hoffenheim

4-3-3
1 O. Baumann G
21 B. Hübner D
3 P. Kadeřábek M
17 S. Zuber M
22 K. Vogt D
7 L. Rupp M
18 N. Amiri M
32 D. Geiger M
27 A. Kramarić F
19 M. Uth F
29 S. Gnabry M
Bench (7)
25 K. Akpoguma
28 Á. Szalai
16 N. Schulz
6 H. Nordtveit
10 K. Demirbay
11 F. Grillitsch
36 G. Kobel

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Markus Schmidt · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.