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La Liga
Referee: Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva
Levante
U S T S S
2–2
Full-time
Ath Madrid
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 45%
30%
59%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
68%
24%
Both score Ø 46%
59%
32%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

46% Possession 54%
17 Shots 17
7 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
9 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Levante 15. · Ath Madrid 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 37 26 8 3 +54 86
2 Ath Madrid 37 22 9 6 +26 75
3 Real Madrid 37 21 5 11 +19 68
4 Valencia 37 14 16 7 +14 58
5 Getafe 37 15 13 9 +13 58
6 Sevilla 37 16 8 13 +13 56
7 Ath Bilbao 37 13 14 10 -2 53
8 Sociedad 37 13 11 13 +1 50
9 Espanol 37 13 11 13 -4 50
10 Betis 37 13 8 16 -10 47
11 Alaves 37 12 11 14 -12 47
12 Eibar 37 11 13 13 -4 46
13 Leganes 37 11 12 14 -5 45
14 Villarreal 37 10 13 14 -3 43
15 Levante 37 11 10 16 -7 43
16 Valladolid 37 10 11 16 -17 41
17 Celta 37 10 10 17 -9 40
18 Girona 37 9 10 18 -15 37
19 Vallecano 37 8 7 22 -29 31
20 Huesca 37 6 12 19 -23 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levante Ath Madrid
1–0 E. Cabaco
Rúben Vezo
6′
Fran Manzanara 🔁
↦ Rubén Rochina
33′
2–0 Roger Martí
36′
39′
🟨 Francisco Montero
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Sergio Camello
↦ T. Partey
51′
🟥 Ángel Correa
63′
🔁 Vitolo
↦ T. Lemar
68′
Rodri Hernández 2–1
Juanfran
M. Simon 🔁
↦ Luna
73′
75′
🔁 Víctor Mollejo
↦ Francisco Montero
José Luis Morales 🔁
↦ Pedro López
78′
79′
Sergio Camello 2–2
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Levante

3-5-2
1 Koke G
19 Pedro López M
22 Luna M
14 Rúben Vezo D
6 Chema D
18 E. Cabaco D
16 Rubén Rochina M
24 Campaña M
10 E. Bardhi M
9 Roger Martí F
20 R. Dwamena F
Bench (7)
27 Fran Manzanara
7 M. Simon
11 José Luis Morales
2 Borja Mayoral
32 Pepelu
13 Oier
30 S. Moore

Coach: Paco López

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
1 Adán G
20 Juanfran D
3 Filipe Luis D
2 D. Godín D
35 Francisco Montero D
6 Koke M
11 T. Lemar M
5 T. Partey M
14 Rodri Hernández M
7 A. Griezmann F
10 Á. Correa F
Bench (7)
55 Sergio Camello
23 Vitolo
40 Víctor Mollejo
4 S. Arias
37 Alex dos Santos
54 Manu Sánchez
43 Toni Moya

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.