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Serie A

Referee: Paolo Valeri

Genoa

T T U U T

1–1

Full-time

Cagliari

U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Cagliari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 25%

22%

28%

Points per game

1,0

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

44%

47%

Both score Ø 54%

61%

47%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

1,1

0,9

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%

24 Shots 4

7 Shots on target 3

9 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

11 Corners 3

5 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 21

2 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genoa 17. · Cagliari 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	36	28	5	3	+42	89
2	Napoli	36	23	7	6	+36	76
3	Inter	36	19	9	8	+26	66
4	Atalanta	36	19	8	9	+29	65
5	Roma	36	17	11	8	+17	62
6	Milan	36	17	11	8	+16	62
7	Torino	36	15	15	6	+16	60
8	Lazio	36	17	7	12	+12	58
9	Sampdoria	36	14	7	15	+7	49
10	Sassuolo	36	9	15	12	-5	42
11	Spal	37	11	9	17	-11	42
12	Fiorentina	36	8	16	12	+3	40
13	Bologna	36	10	10	16	-9	40
14	Udinese	37	10	10	17	-15	40
15	Cagliari	36	10	10	16	-17	40
16	Parma	36	9	11	16	-20	38
17	Genoa	36	8	12	16	-18	36
18	Empoli	36	9	8	19	-21	35
19	Frosinone	36	5	9	22	-38	24
20	Chievo	36	2	12	22	-50	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	18	15	3	0	+26	48
2	Napoli	18	12	4	2	+22	40
3	Roma	18	11	5	2	+16	38
4	Milan	18	11	4	3	+12	37
5	Inter	18	10	5	3	+16	35
6	Torino	18	11	2	5	+11	35
7	Atalanta	18	9	5	4	+15	32
8	Lazio	18	9	4	5	+11	31
9	Cagliari	18	8	6	4	+4	30
10	Sampdoria	18	9	2	7	+10	29
11	Udinese	19	8	5	6	+0	29
12	Bologna	18	8	4	6	+5	28
13	Empoli	18	8	3	7	+0	27
14	Genoa	18	6	7	5	-1	25
15	Sassuolo	18	5	9	4	+0	24
16	Fiorentina	18	5	8	5	+6	23
17	Spal	18	5	7	6	-5	22
18	Parma	18	4	7	7	-8	19
19	Chievo	18	1	6	11	-23	9
20	Frosinone	18	1	5	12	-24	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	18	13	2	3	+16	41
2	Napoli	18	11	3	4	+14	36
3	Atalanta	18	10	3	5	+14	33
4	Inter	18	9	4	5	+10	31
5	Lazio	18	8	3	7	+1	27
6	Torino	18	4	13	1	+5	25
7	Milan	18	6	7	5	+4	25
8	Roma	18	6	6	6	+1	24
9	Sampdoria	18	5	5	8	-3	20
10	Spal	19	6	2	11	-6	20
11	Parma	18	5	4	9	-12	19
12	Sassuolo	18	4	6	8	-5	18
13	Fiorentina	18	3	8	7	-3	17
14	Frosinone	18	4	4	10	-14	16
15	Bologna	18	2	6	10	-14	12
16	Udinese	18	2	5	11	-15	11
17	Genoa	18	2	5	11	-17	11
18	Cagliari	18	2	4	12	-21	10
19	Chievo	18	1	6	11	-27	9
20	Empoli	18	1	5	12	-21	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.