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La Liga
Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez
Betis
T S S T U
1–3
Full-time
Ath Bilbao
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Ath Bilbao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
44%
67%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

52% Possession 48%
11 Shots 23
3 Shots on target 9
6 Blocked shots 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 9
4 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 12. · Ath Bilbao 13. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 10 7 3 0 +20 24
2 Barcelona 10 8 0 2 +10 24
3 Celta 10 6 3 1 +8 21
4 Ath Madrid 10 6 2 2 +9 20
5 Villarreal 10 6 2 2 +7 20
6 Eibar 10 4 4 2 +3 16
7 Valencia 10 4 3 3 +4 15
8 La Coruna 10 3 5 2 +3 14
9 Espanol 10 4 1 5 -10 13
10 Sevilla 10 3 3 4 +0 12
11 Sp Gijon 10 3 3 4 -3 12
12 Betis 9 3 3 3 -4 12
13 Ath Bilbao 9 3 2 4 +1 11
14 Getafe 10 3 1 6 -5 10
15 Vallecano 10 3 1 6 -7 10
16 Sociedad 10 2 3 5 +0 9
17 Malaga 10 2 3 5 -3 9
18 Granada 10 1 4 5 -8 7
19 Las Palmas 10 1 3 6 -9 6
20 Levante 10 1 3 6 -16 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Ath Bilbao
8′
⚽ Iñaki Williams 0–1
Etxeita
12′
🟨 Raúl García
23′
🟨 Mikel San José
Dani Ceballos 🟨
31′
33′
🟨 Aymeric Laporte
45′
⚽ Iñaki Williams 0–2
Raúl García
Half-time 0–2
D. Digard 🔁
↦ Portillo
46′
51′
🔁 Bóveda
↦ De Marcos
Francisco Varela 🔁
↦ Molinero
56′
65′
🟨 Xabier Etxeita
1–2 Rubén Castro ⚽
67′
Germán Pezzella 🟨
75′
78′
🔁 Lekue
↦ Iñaki Williams
Jorge Molina 🔁
↦ Dani Ceballos
82′
87′
⚽ Raúl García 1–3
Aduriz
88′
🔁 Elustondo
↦ Beñat
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Betis

13 Adán G
2 Molinero
4 Bruno González D
12 C. Piccini D
20 G. Pezzella D
7 Joaquín M
18 A. N'Diaye M
22 Portillo M
10 Dani Ceballos M
24 Rubén Castro F
9 R. van Wolfswinkel F
Bench (7)
15 D. Digard
33 Francisco Varela
19 Jorge Molina
1 Dani Giménez
16 Cejudo
23 R. van der Vaart
25 Petros

Ath Bilbao

1 Iraizoz G
6 San José M
24 Balenziaga D
16 Etxeita D
4 A. Laporte D
22 Raúl García M
7 Beñat M
10 De Marcos D
20 Aduriz F
25 Sabin F
15 Iñaki Williams F
Bench (7)
2 Bóveda
30 Lekue
3 Elustondo
5 Eraso
13 Iago Herrerín
14 Susaeta
18 Gurpegi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.