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La Liga
Referee: Alfonso Alvarez Izquierdo
La Coruna
U U T U U
2–0
Full-time
Celta
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

La Coruna Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 41%
27%
55%
Points per game
1,4
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
45%
82%
Both score Ø 78%
73%
82%
Average goals
2,6
3,6
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
5 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 10
1 Offside 4
0 Free kicks against 0
6 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match La Coruna 10. · Celta 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 12 10 0 2 +17 30
2 Real Madrid 12 7 3 2 +15 24
3 Ath Madrid 11 7 2 2 +10 23
4 Celta 11 6 3 2 +4 21
5 Villarreal 11 6 2 3 +4 20
6 Valencia 12 5 4 3 +8 19
7 Eibar 11 5 4 2 +5 19
8 Ath Bilbao 11 5 2 4 +4 17
9 Espanol 12 5 1 6 -9 16
10 La Coruna 11 3 6 2 +3 15
11 Sevilla 12 4 3 5 -1 15
12 Betis 11 4 3 4 -5 15
13 Vallecano 11 4 1 6 -6 13
14 Sociedad 12 3 3 6 +0 12
15 Sp Gijon 11 3 3 5 -4 12
16 Getafe 11 3 1 7 -7 10
17 Las Palmas 12 2 4 6 -7 10
18 Malaga 12 2 3 7 -6 9
19 Granada 11 1 4 6 -9 7
20 Levante 11 1 4 6 -16 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

La Coruna Celta
Lucas Pérez 🟨
23′
1–0 Lucas Pérez
Álex Bergantiños
23′
Germán Lux 🟨
25′
40′
🟨 Pablo Hernández
Half-time 1–0
Jonathan Rodriguez 🟨
53′
Pedro Mosquera 🟨
53′
58′
🔁 Planas
↦ Fontàs
F. Fajr 🔁
↦ Cani
68′
Luisinho 🟨
70′
72′
🔁 J. Guidetti
↦ P. Hernández
Laure 🔁
↦ Jonathan Rodríguez
75′
Juanfran 🟨
78′
78′
🟨 Jonny Castro
J. Gutiérrez 🔁
↦ Juanfran
80′
84′
🟨 Nolito
1–1 Jonny Castro
own goal
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

La Coruna

1 G. Lux G
3 Fernando Navarro D
12 Sidnei D
16 Luisinho D
14 Alejandro Arribas D
6 Cani M
4 Álex Bergantiños M
5 Pedro Mosquera M
11 Juanfran D
7 Lucas Pérez F
20 Jonathan Rodríguez F
Bench (7)
19 F. Fajr
15 Laure
24 J. Gutiérrez
9 Oriol Riera
17 F. Cartabia
23 Lopo
25 Manu

Celta

1 Sergio Álvarez G
2 Hugo Mallo D
3 Fontàs D
20 Sergi Gómez D
19 Jonny Castro D
24 A. Fernández M
14 F. Orellana M
18 D. Wass M
8 P. Hernández M
9 Iago Aspas F
10 Nolito F
Bench (7)
21 Planas
11 J. Guidetti
13 Rubén Blanco
16 D. Dražić
17 L. Madinda
23 Josep Señé
28 Borja Fernández

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alfonso Alvarez Izquierdo · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.