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La Liga
Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez
Barcelona
S S S S U
2–2
Full-time
La Coruna
U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona La Coruna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
2,8
1,2
Conceded
0,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 58%
79%
36%
Points per game
2,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
71%
36%
Both score Ø 61%
57%
64%
Average goals
3,4
2,5
Scored
2,4
1,5
Conceded
0,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

68% Possession 32%
17 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 2
4 Offside 6
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barcelona 1. · La Coruna 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 14 11 1 2 +21 34
2 Ath Madrid 14 10 2 2 +14 32
3 Real Madrid 14 9 3 2 +20 30
4 Celta 14 7 4 3 +3 25
5 Villarreal 14 7 3 4 +3 24
6 La Coruna 14 5 7 2 +7 22
7 Ath Bilbao 14 6 3 5 +5 21
8 Valencia 14 5 5 4 +7 20
9 Eibar 14 5 5 4 +2 20
10 Sevilla 14 5 4 5 +0 19
11 Betis 14 5 4 5 -5 19
12 Espanol 14 5 2 7 -10 17
13 Sociedad 15 4 4 7 -3 16
14 Sp Gijon 14 4 3 7 -6 15
15 Getafe 15 4 3 8 -8 15
16 Vallecano 14 4 2 8 -10 14
17 Malaga 14 2 5 7 -6 11
18 Granada 14 2 5 7 -9 11
19 Levante 14 2 5 7 -14 11
20 Las Palmas 14 2 4 8 -11 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barcelona La Coruna
1–0 L. Messi
39′
41′
🟨 Luisinho
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Juan Domínguez
↦ Luisinho
58′
🔁 Luis Alberto
↦ Jonathan Rodríguez
2–0 I. Rakitić
L. Messi
62′
Munir 🔁
↦ Sandro Ramírez
68′
70′
🔁 Miguel Cardoso
↦ Juanfran
72′
🟨 Laure
Sergi Roberto 🔁
↦ I. Rakitić
72′
J. Mathieu 🔁
↦ Jordi Alba
77′
77′
Lucas Pérez 2–1
Miguel Cardoso
86′
Álex Bergantiños 2–2
Lucas Pérez
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Barcelona

13 C. Bravo G
6 Dani Alves D
3 Piqué D
18 Jordi Alba D
14 J. Mascherano M
8 Iniesta M
4 I. Rakitić M
5 Busquets M
10 L. Messi F
9 L. Suárez F
19 Sandro Ramírez F
Bench (7)
17 Munir
20 Sergi Roberto
24 J. Mathieu
1 M. ter Stegen
15 Bartra
21 Adriano Correia
23 T. Vermaelen

La Coruna

1 G. Lux G
3 Fernando Navarro D
12 Sidnei D
15 Laure D
16 Luisinho D
14 Alejandro Arribas D
4 Álex Bergantiños M
19 F. Fajr M
11 Juanfran D
7 Lucas Pérez F
20 Jonathan Rodríguez F
Bench (7)
10 Juan Domínguez
21 Luis Alberto
30 Miguel Cardoso
6 Cani
8 H. Medunjanin
23 Lopo
25 Manu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.