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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez
La Coruna
U S S U U
2–0
Full-time
Eibar
S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

La Coruna Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
40%
33%
Both score Ø 64%
67%
60%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
13 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 8
0 Offside 4
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match La Coruna 6. · Eibar 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 15 11 2 2 +21 35
2 Ath Madrid 15 11 2 2 +15 35
3 Real Madrid 15 9 3 3 +19 30
4 Celta 15 8 4 3 +4 28
5 Villarreal 15 8 3 4 +4 27
6 La Coruna 15 5 8 2 +7 23
7 Sevilla 16 6 5 5 +2 23
8 Valencia 16 5 7 4 +7 22
9 Ath Bilbao 15 6 3 6 +4 21
10 Eibar 15 5 6 4 +2 21
11 Betis 16 5 5 6 -6 20
12 Espanol 16 6 2 8 -10 20
13 Sociedad 15 4 4 7 -3 16
14 Getafe 16 4 4 8 -8 16
15 Sp Gijon 15 4 3 8 -8 15
16 Malaga 15 3 5 7 -5 14
17 Granada 15 3 5 7 -8 14
18 Vallecano 15 4 2 9 -11 14
19 Las Palmas 16 3 4 9 -11 13
20 Levante 15 2 5 8 -15 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

La Coruna Eibar
12′
🟨 Aleksandar Pantić
Luisinho 🟨
21′
23′
🔁 T. Inui
↦ Saúl Berjón
40′
🟨 Asier Riesgo
1–0 Lucas Pérez
41′
45′
🔁 Lillo Castellano
↦ Luna
Half-time 1–0
F. Cartabia 🔁
↦ Luis Alberto
62′
Luisinho 🟨
68′
Luisinho 🟥
68′
2–0 Alejandro Arribas
73′
76′
🔁 S. Verdi
↦ Keko
Juan Domínguez 🔁
↦ Lucas Pérez
84′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

La Coruna

1 G. Lux G
3 Fernando Navarro D
12 Sidnei D
16 Luisinho D
14 Alejandro Arribas D
4 Álex Bergantiños M
5 Pedro Mosquera M
19 F. Fajr M
11 Juanfran D
21 Luis Alberto F
7 Lucas Pérez F
Bench (7)
17 F. Cartabia
10 Juan Domínguez
2 Manuel Pablo
20 Jonathan Rodríguez
25 Manu
27 Rober
30 Miguel Cardoso

Eibar

13 Asier Riesgo G
15 M. Dos Santos D
19 Luna D
3 A. Pantić D
21 Saúl Berjón F
14 Dani García M
7 Ander Capa D
5 G. Escalante M
9 Sergi Enrich F
20 Keko M
18 Borja Bastón F
Bench (7)
8 T. Inui
16 Lillo Castellano
2 S. Verdi
1 Xabi Irureta
10 Mikel Arruabarrena
24 Adrián
28 Iñigo Barrenetxea

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Estrada Fernandez · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.