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La Liga

Referee: Antonio Mateu

Barcelona

U U S U S

6–0

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

2,5

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 18/19 matches

Win Ø 57%

72%

42%

Points per game

2,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

72%

58%

Both score Ø 49%

50%

47%

Average goals

3,3

2,6

Scored

2,4

1,4

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

76% Possession 24%

20 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 2

4 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Barcelona 3. · Ath Bilbao 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	20	15	2	3	+22	47
2	Real Madrid	20	13	4	3	+38	43
3	Barcelona	18	13	3	2	+29	42
4	Villarreal	20	12	4	4	+10	40
5	Celta	20	10	4	6	+2	34
6	Sevilla	20	9	5	6	+6	32
7	Eibar	19	8	6	5	+7	30
8	Ath Bilbao	19	8	4	7	+5	28
9	La Coruna	20	6	10	4	+3	28
10	Getafe	20	7	5	8	-4	26
11	Valencia	20	5	9	6	+4	24
12	Malaga	20	6	6	8	-2	24
13	Sociedad	20	5	6	9	-5	21
14	Espanol	20	6	3	11	-15	21
15	Betis	20	5	6	9	-15	21
16	Las Palmas	20	4	6	10	-11	18
17	Granada	19	4	5	10	-16	17
18	Vallecano	20	4	4	12	-22	16
19	Sp Gijon	19	4	3	12	-17	15
20	Levante	20	3	5	12	-19	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	11	9	1	1	+29	28
2	Barcelona	10	9	1	0	+25	28
3	Sevilla	11	9	0	2	+12	27
4	Villarreal	11	8	2	1	+10	26
5	Ath Madrid	9	7	1	1	+7	22
6	Getafe	11	6	3	2	+10	21
7	Eibar	10	5	3	2	+4	18
8	Ath Bilbao	9	5	2	2	+8	17
9	Celta	11	5	2	4	+0	17
10	Valencia	10	3	7	0	+7	16
11	Malaga	9	4	3	2	+5	15
12	Las Palmas	11	4	3	4	+0	15
13	Espanol	9	4	3	2	-2	15
14	La Coruna	9	3	4	2	+5	13
15	Sociedad	10	3	3	4	-1	12
16	Vallecano	10	3	2	5	-5	11
17	Levante	10	2	3	5	-6	9
18	Sp Gijon	8	2	2	4	-3	8
19	Granada	9	2	2	5	-8	8
20	Betis	9	1	3	5	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	11	8	1	2	+15	25
2	Celta	9	5	2	2	+2	17
3	Real Madrid	9	4	3	2	+9	15
4	La Coruna	11	3	6	2	-2	15
5	Betis	11	4	3	4	-6	15
6	Barcelona	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Villarreal	9	4	2	3	+0	14
8	Eibar	9	3	3	3	+3	12
9	Ath Bilbao	10	3	2	5	-3	11
10	Sociedad	10	2	3	5	-4	9
11	Malaga	11	2	3	6	-7	9
12	Granada	10	2	3	5	-8	9
13	Valencia	10	2	2	6	-3	8
14	Sp Gijon	11	2	1	8	-14	7
15	Espanol	11	2	0	9	-13	6
16	Sevilla	9	0	5	4	-6	5
17	Levante	10	1	2	7	-13	5
18	Getafe	9	1	2	6	-14	5
19	Vallecano	10	1	2	7	-17	5
20	Las Palmas	9	0	3	6	-11	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.