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Serie A

Referee: Gianluca Rocchi

Chievo

U S S T S

1–3

Full-time

Milan

T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chievo Milan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

This season — Serie A · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 57%

57%

Points per game

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

29%

43%

Both score Ø 43%

43%

Average goals

2,1

3,1

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

0,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%

8 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 2

5 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Chievo 5. · Milan 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	8	7	0	1	+12	21
2	Roma	8	5	1	2	+9	16
3	Napoli	8	4	2	2	+6	14
4	Lazio	8	4	2	2	+6	14
5	Chievo	7	4	1	2	+3	13
6	Milan	7	4	1	2	+2	13
7	Cagliari	8	4	1	3	-1	13
8	Genoa	7	3	3	1	+3	12
9	Sassuolo	8	4	0	4	-2	12
10	Torino	7	3	2	2	+5	11
11	Inter	8	3	2	3	+0	11
12	Bologna	8	3	2	3	-3	11
13	Atalanta	8	3	1	4	-2	10
14	Fiorentina	7	2	3	2	+0	9
15	Sampdoria	8	2	2	4	-3	8
16	Pescara	8	1	4	3	-3	7
17	Udinese	8	2	1	5	-7	7
18	Palermo	7	1	3	3	-4	6
19	Empoli	8	1	2	5	-9	5
20	Crotone	8	0	1	7	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Juventus	4	4	0	0	+8	12
3	Torino	4	3	1	0	+7	10
4	Cagliari	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Napoli	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Milan	4	3	0	1	+3	9
7	Bologna	4	3	0	1	+3	9
8	Sassuolo	4	3	0	1	+1	9
9	Fiorentina	4	2	2	0	+2	8
10	Lazio	4	2	1	1	+4	7
11	Chievo	3	2	1	0	+3	7
12	Genoa	4	1	3	0	+2	6
13	Atalanta	4	2	0	2	+0	6
14	Inter	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Udinese	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Pescara	5	0	3	2	-3	3
18	Empoli	4	1	0	3	-5	3
19	Crotone	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Palermo	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	4	3	0	1	+4	9
2	Lazio	4	2	1	1	+2	7
3	Palermo	4	1	3	0	+1	6
4	Genoa	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Inter	4	2	0	2	+0	6
6	Chievo	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Napoli	4	1	2	1	+2	5
8	Pescara	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Roma	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Milan	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Atalanta	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Sampdoria	5	1	1	3	-3	4
13	Sassuolo	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Udinese	4	1	0	3	-5	3
15	Cagliari	4	1	0	3	-6	3
16	Empoli	4	0	2	2	-4	2
17	Bologna	4	0	2	2	-6	2
18	Fiorentina	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Torino	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Crotone	5	0	0	5	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.