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La Liga

Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez

La Coruna

T S T S U

0–1

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

La Coruna Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

16 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 6

5 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match La Coruna 10. · Ath Bilbao 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Sevilla	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Sp Gijon	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Las Palmas	3	2	0	1	+5	6
5	Barcelona	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Eibar	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Ath Madrid	3	1	2	0	+4	5
8	Villarreal	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Alaves	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	La Coruna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Leganes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Betis	3	1	1	1	-3	4
14	Espanol	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Malaga	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Osasuna	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Granada	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Ath Bilbao	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Valencia	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Celta	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Barcelona	2	1	0	1	+3	3
6	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Granada	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Malaga	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Celta	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+4	4
2	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Las Palmas	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Betis	2	1	0	1	-3	3
11	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Sevilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Sp Gijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	La Coruna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Osasuna	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Celta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Granada	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.