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Primeira Liga
Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida
Sp Braga
S S T S T
3–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Pacos Ferreira
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
This season — Primeira Liga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 42%
58%
25%
Points per game
1,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
58%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%
9 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 4
23 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Braga 5. · Pacos Ferreira 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 13 10 2 1 +21 32
2 Porto 13 8 4 1 +19 28
3 Sp Lisbon 13 8 3 2 +12 27
4 Guimaraes 13 7 3 3 +7 24
5 Sp Braga 12 7 2 3 +9 23
6 Chaves 13 4 7 2 +2 19
7 Rio Ave 12 5 2 5 -1 17
8 Belenenses 13 4 5 4 -3 17
9 Maritimo 13 5 2 6 -3 17
10 Vitoria Setubal 13 4 4 5 -1 16
11 Estoril 13 4 3 6 -5 15
12 Arouca 12 4 2 6 -6 14
13 Pacos Ferreira 12 3 4 5 -3 13
14 Boavista 13 3 4 6 -4 13
15 Nacional 13 3 2 8 -8 11
16 Moreirense 13 3 2 8 -8 11
17 Feirense 13 3 2 8 -18 11
18 Tondela 13 2 3 8 -10 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Braga Pacos Ferreira
Rui Fonte 🔁
↦ N. Stojiljković
8′
1–0 Rui Fonte
Wilson Eduardo
16′
2–0 Ricardo Horta
23′
Half-time 2–0
Xeka 🟨
53′
62′
🔁 Valente
↦ Andrézinho
3–0 Rui Fonte
Wilson Eduardo
65′
Nikola Vukčević 🟨
67′
Pedro Tiba 🔁
↦ N.S. Vukčević
70′
70′
🔁 B. Osei
↦ Gleison
79′
🟨 João Góis
79′
🔁 Minhoca
↦ Welthon
81′
🟨 Bruno Santos
Alan 🔁
↦ Rui Fonte
82′
Pedro Tiba 🟨
88′
Marafona 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Sp Braga

4-4-2
28 Marafona G
6 André Pinto D
15 Baiano D
87 Marcelo Goiano D
43 Bruno Wilson D
35 N.S. Vukčević M
21 Ricardo Horta M
80 Xeka M
19 N. Stojiljković F
7 Wilson Eduardo F
9 Koka F
Bench (7)
17 Rui Fonte
25 Pedro Tiba
30 Alan
92 Matheus
10 T. Martínez
26 O. Benítez
16 Djavan Ferreira

Coach: José Peseiro

Pacos Ferreira

4-2-3-1
1 Rafael Defendi G
19 Ricardo D
2 Marco Baixinho D
13 João Góis D
6 Bruno Santos D
15 Mateus Silva M
12 Pedrinho Moreira M
20 Andrézinho M
7 Welthon F
23 Ivo Rodrigues M
17 Gleison F
Bench (7)
91 Valente
16 B. Osei
10 Minhoca
33 Francisco Afonso
29 Vasco
73 João Pinho
21 Leandro Silva

Coach: Vasco Seabra

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida · 167 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.