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Serie A
Referee: Gianluca Rocchi
Torino
U S S S T
1–3
Full-time
Juventus
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Juventus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,7
Scored
2,0
2,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,3
This season — Serie A · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 64%
47%
80%
Points per game
1,7
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
73%
80%
Both score Ø 67%
73%
60%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,1
2,1
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
9 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
23 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 7. · Juventus 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 15 12 0 3 +19 36
2 Roma 15 10 2 3 +19 32
3 Milan 15 10 2 3 +8 32
4 Napoli 16 9 4 3 +17 31
5 Lazio 16 9 4 3 +12 31
6 Atalanta 15 9 1 5 +7 28
7 Torino 15 7 4 4 +12 25
8 Fiorentina 14 6 5 3 +6 23
9 Sampdoria 16 6 4 6 -2 22
10 Inter 15 6 3 6 +1 21
11 Genoa 14 5 5 4 +2 20
12 Cagliari 16 6 2 8 -14 20
13 Chievo 15 5 4 6 -2 19
14 Udinese 15 5 3 7 -4 18
15 Sassuolo 15 5 2 8 -6 17
16 Bologna 15 4 4 7 -8 16
17 Empoli 15 2 4 9 -17 10
18 Crotone 16 2 3 11 -16 9
19 Pescara 16 1 5 10 -16 8
20 Palermo 15 1 3 11 -18 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Juventus
1–0 A. Belotti
D. Baselli
16′
28′
G. Higuaín 1–1
M. Mandžukić
Leandro Castán 🟨
35′
36′
🟨 Mario Mandžukić
Half-time 1–1
56′
🟨 Daniele Rugani
67′
🔁 M. Lemina
↦ S. Sturaro
71′
🔁 P. Dybala
↦ M. Mandžukić
A. Acquah 🔁
↦ D. Baselli
81′
L. Boyé 🔁
↦ M. Benassi
81′
81′
🔁 M. Pjanić
↦ J. Cuadrado
J. Martínez 🔁
↦ Iago Falqué
82′
82′
G. Higuaín 1–2
G. Chiellini
92′
M. Pjanić 1–3
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Torino

4-3-3
21 J. Hart G
13 L. Rossettini D
4 Leandro Castán D
7 D. Zappacosta M
23 A. Barreca D
18 M. Valdifiori M
8 D. Baselli M
15 M. Benassi M
10 A. Ljajić M
14 Iago Falqué F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (12)
6 A. Acquah
31 L. Boyé
17 J. Martínez
1 D. Padelli
5 C. Bovo
11 M. López
16 Samuel Gustafson
20 G. Vives
24 E. Moretti
29 L. De Silvestri
90 T. Cucchietti
93 Arlind Ajeti

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Juventus

4-3-3
1 G. Buffon
26 S. Lichtsteiner D
3 G. Chiellini D
12 Alex Sandro D
24 D. Rugani D
6 S. Khedira M
8 C. Marchisio M
27 S. Sturaro M
9 G. Higuaín F
17 M. Mandžukić F
7 J. Cuadrado M
Bench (9)
18 M. Lemina
21 P. Dybala
5 M. Pjanić
4 M. Benatia
11 Hernanes
22 K. Asamoah
25 Neto
32 E. Audero
33 P. Evra

Coach: M. Allegri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Gianluca Rocchi · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.