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Serie A

Referee: Paolo Valeri

Inter

T S U S T

2–0

Full-time

Genoa

T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Genoa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

This season — Serie A · 15/14 matches

Win Ø 38%

40%

36%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,9

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

13 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 5

4 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Inter 11. · Genoa 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	16	13	0	3	+21	39
2	Roma	15	10	2	3	+19	32
3	Milan	15	10	2	3	+8	32
4	Napoli	16	9	4	3	+17	31
5	Lazio	16	9	4	3	+12	31
6	Atalanta	16	9	1	6	+5	28
7	Torino	16	7	4	5	+10	25
8	Fiorentina	14	6	5	3	+6	23
9	Chievo	16	6	4	6	+0	22
10	Sampdoria	16	6	4	6	-2	22
11	Inter	15	6	3	6	+1	21
12	Udinese	16	6	3	7	-2	21
13	Genoa	14	5	5	4	+2	20
14	Cagliari	16	6	2	8	-14	20
15	Sassuolo	15	5	2	8	-6	17
16	Bologna	16	4	5	7	-8	17
17	Empoli	16	2	5	9	-17	11
18	Crotone	16	2	3	11	-16	9
19	Pescara	16	1	5	10	-16	8
20	Palermo	16	1	3	12	-20	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	8	8	0	0	+17	24
2	Roma	7	7	0	0	+17	21
3	Milan	8	6	1	1	+6	19
4	Torino	8	5	2	1	+10	17
5	Napoli	8	5	2	1	+9	17
6	Lazio	8	5	1	2	+8	16
7	Sampdoria	8	5	1	2	+4	16
8	Cagliari	8	5	1	2	+0	16
9	Atalanta	8	5	0	3	+3	15
10	Inter	7	4	2	1	+6	14
11	Bologna	9	4	2	3	+2	14
12	Genoa	7	3	4	0	+7	13
13	Fiorentina	7	3	4	0	+3	13
14	Chievo	8	3	3	2	+1	12
15	Sassuolo	7	4	0	3	-1	12
16	Udinese	8	3	2	3	+0	11
17	Crotone	8	2	2	4	-4	8
18	Empoli	8	1	2	5	-12	5
19	Pescara	8	0	4	4	-8	4
20	Palermo	8	0	0	8	-14	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	8	4	3	1	+4	15
2	Juventus	8	5	0	3	+4	15
3	Napoli	8	4	2	2	+8	14
4	Milan	7	4	1	2	+2	13
5	Atalanta	8	4	1	3	+2	13
6	Roma	8	3	2	3	+2	11
7	Fiorentina	7	3	1	3	+3	10
8	Chievo	8	3	1	4	-1	10
9	Udinese	8	3	1	4	-2	10
10	Torino	8	2	2	4	+0	8
11	Inter	8	2	1	5	-5	7
12	Genoa	7	2	1	4	-5	7
13	Empoli	8	1	3	4	-5	6
14	Sampdoria	8	1	3	4	-6	6
15	Palermo	8	1	3	4	-6	6
16	Sassuolo	8	1	2	5	-5	5
17	Pescara	8	1	1	6	-8	4
18	Cagliari	8	1	1	6	-14	4
19	Bologna	7	0	3	4	-10	3
20	Crotone	8	0	1	7	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.