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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernandez

Valencia

U U U S S

3–2

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

39% Possession 61%

10 Shots 16

6 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 8

2 Offside 3

18 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 5. · Ath Bilbao 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+21	21
2	Sevilla	7	5	1	1	+6	16
3	Ath Madrid	7	4	3	0	+8	15
4	Betis	7	4	1	2	+3	13
5	Valencia	6	3	3	0	+7	12
6	Real Madrid	6	3	2	1	+5	11
7	Leganes	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	Sociedad	7	3	1	3	+0	10
9	Levante	7	2	3	2	-2	9
10	Celta	7	2	2	3	+2	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	+2	8
12	Ath Bilbao	6	2	2	2	+1	8
13	Espanol	6	2	2	2	-2	8
14	Villarreal	6	2	1	3	-3	7
15	La Coruna	7	2	1	4	-7	7
16	Girona	7	1	3	3	-5	6
17	Las Palmas	7	2	0	5	-8	6
18	Eibar	6	2	0	4	-11	6
19	Alaves	7	1	0	6	-7	3
20	Malaga	7	0	1	6	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+15	12
2	Sevilla	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Betis	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Levante	5	2	2	1	+2	8
5	Valencia	3	2	1	0	+6	7
6	Espanol	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	La Coruna	4	2	0	2	-3	6
9	Celta	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Leganes	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	Ath Bilbao	3	1	1	1	+1	4
13	Sociedad	4	1	1	2	+0	4
14	Girona	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Getafe	3	1	0	2	+2	3
16	Eibar	3	1	0	2	-4	3
17	Las Palmas	3	1	0	2	-5	3
18	Real Madrid	3	0	2	1	-1	2
19	Malaga	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Alaves	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Ath Madrid	5	2	3	0	+5	9
4	Leganes	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Sociedad	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Sevilla	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Valencia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Getafe	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Ath Bilbao	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Betis	4	1	1	2	-3	4
11	Celta	3	1	0	2	+2	3
12	Alaves	4	1	0	3	-1	3
13	Las Palmas	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Villarreal	4	1	0	3	-5	3
15	Eibar	3	1	0	2	-7	3
16	Girona	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Espanol	3	0	2	1	-5	2
18	La Coruna	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Levante	2	0	1	1	-4	1
20	Malaga	4	0	0	4	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.