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Serie A

Referee: Luca Banti

Milan

S T S S T

0–2

Full-time

Roma

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Roma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

1,7

2,5

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,5

This season — Serie A · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 74%

67%

80%

Points per game

2,0

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 74%

67%

80%

Both score Ø 45%

50%

40%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,7

2,4

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

18 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 6

7 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Milan 6. · Roma 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	7	7	0	0	+20	21
2	Inter	7	6	1	0	+11	19
3	Juventus	6	6	0	0	+15	18
4	Lazio	7	5	1	1	+10	16
5	Roma	5	4	0	1	+8	12
6	Milan	6	4	0	2	+2	12
7	Torino	7	3	3	1	+1	12
8	Chievo	7	3	2	2	+0	11
9	Sampdoria	6	3	2	1	+0	11
10	Bologna	7	3	2	2	-1	11
11	Atalanta	6	2	2	2	+2	8
12	Fiorentina	7	2	1	4	+0	7
13	Udinese	7	2	0	5	-1	6
14	Cagliari	7	2	0	5	-7	6
15	Spal	7	1	2	4	-6	5
16	Crotone	7	1	2	4	-8	5
17	Sassuolo	7	1	1	5	-11	4
18	Verona	7	0	3	4	-13	3
19	Genoa	7	0	2	5	-6	2
20	Benevento	7	0	0	7	-16	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+11	9
3	Inter	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Milan	3	3	0	0	+4	9
5	Lazio	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	Atalanta	3	2	0	1	+4	6
7	Udinese	4	2	0	2	+3	6
8	Roma	3	2	0	1	+3	6
9	Sampdoria	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Torino	3	1	2	0	+3	5
11	Fiorentina	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Chievo	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Spal	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Crotone	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Cagliari	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Bologna	3	0	2	1	-3	2
17	Sassuolo	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Genoa	4	0	1	3	-4	1
19	Verona	4	0	1	3	-10	1
20	Benevento	4	0	0	4	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Inter	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Lazio	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Bologna	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Chievo	4	2	1	1	+0	7
6	Torino	4	2	1	1	-2	7
7	Roma	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Sampdoria	4	1	2	1	-3	5
10	Fiorentina	4	1	0	3	+0	3
11	Milan	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Cagliari	4	1	0	3	-5	3
13	Sassuolo	4	1	0	3	-8	3
14	Atalanta	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Verona	3	0	2	1	-3	2
16	Genoa	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Spal	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Crotone	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Udinese	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Benevento	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.