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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
Barcelona
S S S S T
2–1
Full-time
Las Palmas
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
80%
20%
Points per game
2,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
60%
20%
Both score Ø 40%
60%
20%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
80%
20%
Points per game
2,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
60%
20%
Both score Ø 40%
60%
20%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

67% Possession 33%
18 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 4
6 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barcelona 5. · Las Palmas 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 5 4 1 0 +13 13
2 Celta 5 4 1 0 +8 13
3 Villarreal 5 4 1 0 +7 13
4 Ath Madrid 5 4 0 1 +7 12
5 Barcelona 5 4 0 1 +3 12
6 Valencia 6 2 3 1 +1 9
7 Espanol 5 3 0 2 -5 9
8 La Coruna 5 2 2 1 +2 8
9 Eibar 5 2 2 1 +2 8
10 Vallecano 5 2 1 2 -3 7
11 Sociedad 5 1 2 2 +1 5
12 Las Palmas 5 1 2 2 +0 5
13 Sp Gijon 5 1 2 2 -1 5
14 Betis 5 1 2 2 -5 5
15 Ath Bilbao 5 1 0 4 -4 3
16 Levante 5 0 3 2 -4 3
17 Getafe 5 1 0 4 -5 3
18 Granada 6 1 0 5 -8 3
19 Malaga 5 0 2 3 -3 2
20 Sevilla 5 0 2 3 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barcelona Las Palmas
Munir 🔁
↦ L. Messi
10′
1–0 L. Suárez
Sergi Roberto
25′
36′
🟨 Hernán
Half-time 2–0
2–0 L. Suárez
Munir
54′
56′
🟨 David Simón
57′
🔁 E. Culio
↦ Hernán
58′
🟨 Mubarak Wakaso
66′
🟨 Antolín Alcaraz
67′
🔁 N. El Zhar
↦ S. Araújo
68′
🔁 Valerón
↦ Roque Mesa
Javier Mascherano 🟨
79′
Sandro Ramírez 🔁
↦ Munir
80′
88′
Jonathan Viera 2–1
N. El Zhar
Luis Suárez 🟨
90′
Gerard Gumbau 🔁
↦ Adriano Correia
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Barcelona

1 M. ter Stegen G
21 Adriano Correia D
3 Piqué D
15 Bartra D
14 J. Mascherano M
4 I. Rakitić M
5 Busquets M
20 Sergi Roberto D
10 L. Messi F
9 L. Suárez F
11 Neymar F
Bench (7)
17 Munir
19 Sandro Ramírez
28 Gerard Gumbau
6 Dani Alves
8 Iniesta
24 J. Mathieu
25 Jordi Masip

Las Palmas

13 Javi Varas
3 A. Alcáraz D
16 Aythami Artiles
23 Dani Castellano D
17 Pedro Bigas D
2 David Simón D
12 W. Mubarak M
14 Hernán M
15 Roque Mesa M
10 S. Araújo M
20 Jonathan Viera M
Bench (7)
19 E. Culio
25 N. El Zhar
21 Valerón
1 Raúl Lizoáin
5 David García
7 Nauzet Alemán
8 Willian José

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.