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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
Espanol
U T T S U
4–1
Full-time
La Coruna
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol La Coruna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
40%
80%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
2,2
3,4
Scored
0,6
1,2
Conceded
1,6
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

37% Possession 63%
17 Shots 21
5 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Espanol 16. · La Coruna 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 6 6 0 0 +18 18
2 Ath Madrid 6 4 2 0 +8 14
3 Sevilla 6 4 1 1 +4 13
4 Real Madrid 6 3 2 1 +5 11
5 Valencia 5 2 3 0 +6 9
6 Levante 5 2 3 0 +4 9
7 Sociedad 5 3 0 2 +1 9
8 Betis 5 3 0 2 -1 9
9 Ath Bilbao 6 2 2 2 +1 8
10 Villarreal 5 2 1 2 +1 7
11 Leganes 5 2 1 2 +0 7
12 Las Palmas 5 2 0 3 -3 6
13 Eibar 5 2 0 3 -7 6
14 Getafe 5 1 2 2 -1 5
15 Girona 6 1 2 3 -5 5
16 Espanol 5 1 2 2 -5 5
17 Celta 5 1 1 3 -2 4
18 La Coruna 5 1 1 3 -5 4
19 Malaga 6 0 1 5 -10 1
20 Alaves 6 0 0 6 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol La Coruna
1–0 Léo Baptistão
Víctor Sánchez
5′
19′
🟨 Luisinho
1–1 Alejandro Arribas
own goal
22′
Half-time 1–2
53′
C. Borges 1–2
Luisinho
Granero 🔁
↦ P. Piatti
60′
Sergio García 🔁
↦ José Jurado
65′
69′
🔁 F. Andone
↦ Guilherme
Marc Roca 🔁
↦ P. Diop
70′
2–2 Gerard Moreno
72′
74′
🔁 Borja Valle
↦ E. Çolak
Víctor Sánchez 🟨
75′
85′
🔁 Bruno Gama
↦ F. Cartabia
90′
🟨 Bruno Gama
3–2 Gerard Moreno
Léo Baptistão
90′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Espanol

4-4-2
1 Pau López G
22 Mario Hermoso D
3 Aarón Martín D
20 P. Diop M
10 José Jurado M
4 Víctor Sánchez M
19 P. Piatti M
15 David López D
25 Sergi Darder M
7 Gerard Moreno F
11 Léo Baptistão F
Bench (7)
23 Granero
9 Sergio García
21 Marc Roca
2 Marc Navarro
13 Diego López
17 H. Pérez
24 Sergio Sánchez

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

La Coruna

4-2-3-1
25 C. Pantilimon G
16 Luisinho D
24 F. Schär D
14 Alejandro Arribas D
2 Juanfran D
22 C. Borges M
20 Guilherme M
8 E. Çolak M
9 F. Cartabia M
17 F. Valverde M
7 Lucas Pérez F
Bench (7)
10 F. Andone
19 Borja Valle
21 Bruno Gama
1 P. Tytoń
3 Fernando Navarro
6 Albentosa
27 Edu Expósito

Coach: Pepe Mel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.