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La Liga
Referee: Daniel Jesus Trujillo Suarez
Levante
U U U T S
0–5
Full-time
Ath Madrid
U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
42%
25%
Both score Ø 46%
50%
42%
Average goals
2,4
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

44% Possession 56%
17 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 11
4 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 3
0 Offside 5
11 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Levante 13. · Ath Madrid 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 12 11 1 0 +29 34
2 Valencia 12 9 3 0 +21 30
3 Real Madrid 13 8 3 2 +14 27
4 Ath Madrid 12 6 6 0 +10 24
5 Sevilla 12 7 1 4 +2 22
6 Villarreal 12 6 3 3 +7 21
7 Sociedad 12 5 3 4 +3 18
8 Betis 13 5 3 5 -4 18
9 Celta 13 5 2 6 +5 17
10 Girona 13 4 5 4 -3 17
11 Leganes 13 5 2 6 -3 17
12 Getafe 12 4 4 4 +5 16
13 Levante 12 3 6 3 -1 15
14 Eibar 13 4 2 7 -13 14
15 Espanol 12 3 4 5 -6 13
16 Ath Bilbao 12 3 3 6 -4 12
17 La Coruna 12 3 2 7 -8 11
18 Malaga 13 2 1 10 -17 7
19 Alaves 13 2 0 11 -15 6
20 Las Palmas 12 2 0 10 -22 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levante Ath Madrid
5′
Rober 1–0
own goal
29′
K. Gameiro 1–1
Half-time 1–1
Chema 🟨
52′
Ivi López 🔁
↦ Jason
52′
José Luis Morales 🟨
54′
59′
K. Gameiro 1–2
A. Griezmann
65′
A. Griezmann 1–3
K. Gameiro
66′
🔁 Y. Carrasco
↦ Á. Correa
68′
A. Griezmann 1–4
Nano 🔁
↦ Campaña
69′
69′
🔁 Fernando Torres
↦ K. Gameiro
73′
🔁 A. Fernández
↦ Saúl
Samu 🔁
↦ José Luis Morales
77′
90′
🟨 Koke
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Levante

4-2-3-1
13 Oier G
3 Toño M
6 Chema D
26 S. Moore D
4 Rober D
5 C. Doukouré M
24 Campaña M
11 José Luis Morales M
10 E. Bardhi M
23 Jason M
12 E. Ünal F
Bench (7)
14 Ivi López
16 Nano
7 Samu
1 Raúl Fernández
15 Sergio Postigo
18 E. Cabaco
19 Pedro López

Coach: Juan Muñiz

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
3 Filipe Luis D
2 D. Godín D
15 S. Savić D
14 Gabi M
8 Saúl M
6 Koke M
5 T. Partey M
21 K. Gameiro F
7 A. Griezmann F
11 Á. Correa M
Bench (7)
10 Y. Carrasco
9 Fernando Torres
12 A. Fernández
1 Moyà
17 L. Vietto
19 L. Hernández
24 J. Giménez

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Daniel Jesus Trujillo Suarez · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.