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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero Lopez
Levante
U T T T U
2–2
Full-time
Real Madrid
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Real Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
4,3
Scored
0,5
3,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,7
This season — La Liga · 21/20 matches
Win Ø 35%
14%
55%
Points per game
0,9
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
48%
70%
Both score Ø 47%
43%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,1
Scored
0,9
2,2
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

28% Possession 72%
12 Shots 23
4 Shots on target 9
5 Blocked shots 8
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Levante 17. · Real Madrid 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 21 18 3 0 +49 57
2 Ath Madrid 21 13 7 1 +23 46
3 Valencia 21 12 4 5 +17 40
4 Real Madrid 20 11 5 4 +24 38
5 Villarreal 22 11 4 7 +7 37
6 Sevilla 22 10 3 9 -6 33
7 Eibar 22 9 5 8 -3 32
8 Celta 22 9 4 9 +7 31
9 Betis 22 9 3 10 -8 30
10 Getafe 21 7 7 7 +5 28
11 Girona 21 7 7 7 +0 28
12 Leganes 20 8 4 8 -1 28
13 Ath Bilbao 21 6 9 6 +1 27
14 Sociedad 22 7 5 10 +1 26
15 Espanol 21 6 6 9 -10 24
16 Alaves 22 7 1 14 -13 22
17 Levante 21 3 10 8 -12 19
18 La Coruna 22 4 5 13 -27 17
19 Las Palmas 21 4 2 15 -34 14
20 Malaga 21 3 4 14 -20 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levante Real Madrid
11′
Sergio Ramos 0–1
T. Kroos
Cheick Doukouré 🟨
13′
21′
🟨 Sergio Ramos
Ivi 🟨
26′
1–1 E. Boateng
42′
Half-time 1–1
Jason 🔁
↦ E. Boateng
60′
66′
🔁 Isco
↦ G. Bale
Roger Martí 🔁
↦ J. Lerma
68′
G. Pazzini 🔁
↦ Ivi López
77′
81′
Isco 1–2
K. Benzema
82′
🔁 Marco Asensio
↦ Cristiano Ronaldo
84′
🟨 Marco Asensio
Coke 🟨
88′
2–2 G. Pazzini
Jason
89′
90′
🟨 Raphaël Varane
90′
🔁 Lucas Vázquez
↦ T. Kroos
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Levante

4-5-1
13 Oier G
12 Coke D
22 Luna D
15 Sergio Postigo D
4 Rober D
5 C. Doukouré M
11 José Luis Morales M
20 S. Lukić M
8 J. Lerma M
14 Ivi López M
21 E. Boateng F
Bench (7)
23 Jason
9 Roger Martí
17 G. Pazzini
10 E. Bardhi
18 E. Cabaco
19 Pedro López
27 Koke

Coach: Juan Muñiz

Real Madrid

4-3-3
1 K. Navas G
4 Sergio Ramos D
12 Marcelo D
2 Daniel Carvajal D
5 R. Varane D
10 L. Modrić M
8 T. Kroos M
14 Casemiro M
7 Cristiano Ronaldo F
9 K. Benzema F
11 G. Bale F
Bench (7)
22 Isco
20 Marco Asensio
17 Lucas Vázquez
6 Nacho
13 Kiko Casilla
15 T. Hernández
23 M. Kovačić

Coach: Z. Zidane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mario Melero Lopez · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.