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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Hernandez
Real Madrid
S S S S U
1–1
Full-time
Levante
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,3
Scored
3,2
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+2,5
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

68% Possession 32%
18 Shots 5
10 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 9
13 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Real Madrid 5. · Levante 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sociedad 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Barcelona 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Leganes 3 2 0 1 +1 6
4 Ath Madrid 2 1 1 0 +4 4
5 Real Madrid 2 1 1 0 +3 4
6 Valencia 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Levante 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Girona 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Sevilla 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Ath Bilbao 2 1 1 0 +1 4
11 Getafe 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Eibar 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Betis 2 1 0 1 -1 3
14 Espanol 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 La Coruna 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 Celta 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Malaga 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Alaves 2 0 0 2 -3 0
19 Villarreal 2 0 0 2 -4 0
20 Las Palmas 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Real Madrid Levante
12′
Ivi López 0–1
Iván López
20′
🔁 Pedro López
↦ Iván López
G. Bale 🔁
↦ K. Benzema
28′
1–1 Lucas Vázquez
36′
45′
🟨 Jefferson Lerma
Half-time 1–1
47′
🟨 Álex Alegría
Sergio Ramos 🟨
54′
55′
🔁 E. Boateng
↦ Álex Alegría
60′
🟨 Emmanuel Boateng
Isco 🔁
↦ Marcos Llorente
62′
Daniel Carvajal 🟨
66′
68′
🔁 Samu
↦ Ivi López
M. Kovačić 🔁
↦ Lucas Vázquez
72′
Marcelo 🟥
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Real Madrid

4-2-3-1
13 Kiko Casilla G
4 Sergio Ramos D
12 Marcelo D
6 Nacho D
2 Daniel Carvajal D
15 T. Hernández D
8 T. Kroos M
17 Lucas Vázquez M
18 Marcos Llorente M
20 Marco Asensio M
9 K. Benzema F
Bench (7)
11 G. Bale
22 Isco
23 M. Kovačić
3 Jesús Vallejo
24 Dani Ceballos
30 L. Zidane
14 Casemiro

Coach: Z. Zidane

Levante

4-5-1
1 Raúl Fernández G
15 Sergio Postigo D
3 Toño M
2 Iván López D
6 Chema D
4 Rober D
24 Campaña M
8 J. Lerma M
17 Álex Alegría F
23 Jason M
14 Ivi López M
Bench (7)
19 Pedro López
21 E. Boateng
7 Samu
10 E. Bardhi
13 Oier
20 S. Lukić
22 Luna

Coach: Juan Muñiz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alejandro Hernandez · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.