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La Liga

Referee: Alberto Undiano

Celta

U U S T U

1–1

Full-time

Valencia

S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,7

This season — La Liga · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 49%

36%

61%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

67%

61%

Both score Ø 61%

61%

Average goals

3,0

2,9

Scored

1,6

1,8

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

10 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celta 10. · Valencia 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	33	25	8	0	+64	83
2	Ath Madrid	33	21	8	4	+36	71
3	Real Madrid	33	20	8	5	+44	68
4	Valencia	33	20	5	8	+26	65
5	Betis	33	17	4	12	+1	55
6	Villarreal	33	15	6	12	+5	51
7	Getafe	34	13	9	12	+8	48
8	Sevilla	33	14	6	13	-11	48
9	Girona	33	13	8	12	-4	47
10	Celta	33	12	8	13	+6	44
11	Sociedad	33	12	7	14	+8	43
12	Eibar	34	12	7	15	-10	43
13	Ath Bilbao	33	9	13	11	-3	40
14	Leganes	34	11	7	16	-13	40
15	Alaves	33	12	2	19	-17	38
16	Espanol	33	8	12	13	-14	36
17	Levante	33	7	13	13	-19	34
18	La Coruna	34	6	10	18	-33	28
19	Las Palmas	33	5	6	22	-43	21
20	Malaga	33	4	5	24	-31	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	14	2	0	+37	44
2	Ath Madrid	16	12	4	0	+24	40
3	Valencia	17	12	2	3	+19	38
4	Real Madrid	17	10	4	3	+27	34
5	Getafe	17	9	3	5	+14	30
6	Betis	17	9	3	5	+3	30
7	Villarreal	16	9	2	5	+9	29
8	Sevilla	16	8	5	3	+6	29
9	Leganes	17	8	4	5	+2	28
10	Sociedad	17	8	3	6	+15	27
11	Girona	16	8	3	5	+10	27
12	Celta	16	7	6	3	+9	27
13	Espanol	17	7	5	5	+1	26
14	Eibar	18	7	4	7	+6	25
15	Alaves	17	8	1	8	-3	25
16	Ath Bilbao	16	5	8	3	+4	23
17	Levante	17	5	6	6	-5	21
18	La Coruna	17	4	6	7	-7	18
19	Las Palmas	16	4	2	10	-17	14
20	Malaga	16	3	3	10	-11	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	17	11	6	0	+27	39
2	Real Madrid	16	10	4	2	+17	34
3	Ath Madrid	17	9	4	4	+12	31
4	Valencia	16	8	3	5	+7	27
5	Betis	16	8	1	7	-2	25
6	Villarreal	17	6	4	7	-4	22
7	Girona	17	5	5	7	-14	20
8	Sevilla	17	6	1	10	-17	19
9	Getafe	17	4	6	7	-6	18
10	Eibar	16	5	3	8	-16	18
11	Celta	17	5	2	10	-3	17
12	Ath Bilbao	17	4	5	8	-7	17
13	Sociedad	16	4	4	8	-7	16
14	Alaves	16	4	1	11	-14	13
15	Levante	16	2	7	7	-14	13
16	Leganes	17	3	3	11	-15	12
17	Espanol	16	1	7	8	-15	10
18	La Coruna	17	2	4	11	-26	10
19	Las Palmas	17	1	4	12	-26	7
20	Malaga	17	1	2	14	-20	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.